Davidson Wildcats vs Columbia Lions
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Davidson65
Columbia71FinalLevien GymnasiumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Davidson | 15 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 65 |
 Columbia | 18 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 71 |
Box score
FinalDavidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie DonovanG | 37 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Kyra BruyndoncxG | 36 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Elena Alvarez CastellanosG | 32 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Emilie BessellG | 26 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Asha NightingaleF | 24 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lilli OnnelaG | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Ines Garcia MonjeF | 16 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jasmine TimmersonG | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sharni ReisingerG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 65 | 36 | 17 | 25-60 | 3-14 | 12-19 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 14 |
Did not play Eliza Buerk dnp · Georgia Ferguson dnp · Sveva Bernasconi dnp · Sylvie Jackson dnp
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia BroomG | 36 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Fliss HendersonG | 32 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Riley WeissG | 31 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Hilke FeldrappeF | 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Mary Ashley StevensonF | 27 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Nasi SimmonsG | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Eirny ErinughaF | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chloe DixG | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mathis DritzF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Alicia MitchellF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 71 | 31 | 18 | 28-57 | 4-9 | 11-12 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 16 |
Did not play Blau Tor dnp · Chloe Vella dnp · Marija Avlijas dnp · Marta Jaama dnp
Team stats
Final| Davidson | Columbia | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-60 | FG | 28-57 |
| 41.7% | FG% | 49.1% |
| 3-14 | 3PT | 4-9 |
| 21.4% | 3PT% | 44.4% |
| 12-19 | FT | 11-12 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 31 |
| 13 | Off reb | 6 |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
67.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedDavidson 57.2 · Columbia 66.4
Our lineColumbia −9.2
Total123.6
Win probColumbia 78% · Davidson 22%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.