Long Island University Sharks vs Texas State Bobcats
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Long Island51
Texas St69FinalStrahan Arena at the University Events CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Long Island | 11 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 51 |
 Texas St | 15 | 23 | 16 | 15 | 69 |
Box score
FinalLong Island University Sharks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila NunezF | 40 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Janessa WilliamsG | 39 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Teriyah McFaddenG | 38 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Camille WileyG | 29 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Laura MolnarovaF | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Kylie MorrisF | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Fabiana PoindujourG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kennady GordonG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Symone PittmanG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portia McLeanF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 51 | 19 | 14 | 21-48 | 7-24 | 2-5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 19 |
Did not play Anna Laura Molnarova · Ashlee Lee · Carmela Nunez · Meagen Scott · Saran Diallo · Sydney Huskey
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal HendersonG | 37 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Sofia CeppellottiF | 34 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Saniya BurksG | 32 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-17 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Lay FantroyG | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyra AndersonF | 20 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Addison CarrC | 19 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Hayden HearstF | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Emma PiqueG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Makenna Shaffer-LauerG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aliyah CarterG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucija MilkovicC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | — | 69 | 36 | 8 | 25-53 | 5-18 | 14-20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 13 |
Did not play Cali Denson · Kaliyah Murphy
Team stats
Final| Long Island | Texas St | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-48 | FG | 25-53 |
| 43.8% | FG% | 47.2% |
| 7-24 | 3PT | 5-18 |
| 29.2% | 3PT% | 27.8% |
| 2-5 | FT | 14-20 |
| 19 | Rebounds | 36 |
| 5 | Off reb | 15 |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
64.0 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedLong Island 64.3 · Texas St 71.8
Our lineTexas St −7.5
Total136.1
Win probTexas St 74% · Long Island 26%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.