Valparaiso Beacons vs Michigan State Spartans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Valparaiso44
Michigan St98FinalBreslin CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Valparaiso | 9 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 44 |
 Michigan St | 23 | 24 | 36 | 15 | 98 |
Box score
FinalValparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allia von SchlegellG | 30 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Maci RhoadesG | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Jana NoguésG | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| Dani GuedetG | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Denza AllenF | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Maddie VejsickyG | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Osadebamwen Igbinedion OmoruyiC | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Autumn DibbG | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Constanza AravenaG | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Hillary OffingF | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 44 | 33 | 11 | 16-60 | 5-30 | 7-13 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 20 |
Did not play Isabella Anderson dnp · Kylee Norkus dnp · Nuala Connolly dnp · Raeven Raye-Redmond dnp
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy BlairG | 21 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Monique BobongieG | 21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Tabitha BetsonF | 21 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Emma BrolironG | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Kathy-Emma OttoF | 19 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Anna WypychG | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Theryn HallockG | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Amy TerrianG | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sara SambolicG | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Lilly WilliamsC | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Anna TerrianG | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Uche KaineF | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alie BisballeF | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | — | 98 | 50 | 25 | 36-69 | 8-23 | 18-23 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 18 |
Did not play Carter McCray dnp · Isaline Alexander dnp
Team stats
Final| Valparaiso | Michigan St | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-60 | FG | 36-69 |
| 26.7% | FG% | 52.2% |
| 5-30 | 3PT | 8-23 |
| 16.7% | 3PT% | 34.8% |
| 7-13 | FT | 18-23 |
| 33 | Rebounds | 50 |
| 9 | Off reb | 12 |
| 11 | Assists | 25 |
| 7 | Steals | 20 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 30 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
85.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Tuesday, November 3ProjectedValparaiso 42.9 · Michigan St 102.8
Our lineMichigan St −59.9
Total145.7
Win probMichigan St 100% · Valparaiso 0%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.