Denver Pioneers vs Air Force Falcons
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Denver45
Air Force66FinalClune ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Denver | 11 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 45 |
 Air Force | 12 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 66 |
Box score
FinalDenver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina PadillaG | 38 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tori BakerG | 36 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Laia MonclovaG | 35 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Mallory McQuietorF | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Brooke MurrellF | 24 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Emma HartG | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Safiyah SugapongG | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Ana CondeF | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lily EsparzaF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lexi PletschetteG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 45 | 34 | 8 | 15-49 | 1-12 | 14-22 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 17 |
Did not play Anna Rosenberger dnp
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayda McNabbG | 38 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Jordyn DeVaughnG | 37 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Alexis CortezG | 32 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Keelie O'HollarenG | 29 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Eva LoveG | 16 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| AJ ManneringG | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Marissa HargraveG | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Julia LeachF | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Chloe ParkerG | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Maddy JensenG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carson FayardG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 66 | 45 | 10 | 25-67 | 6-20 | 10-11 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 27 |
Did not play Dixon McLanahan dnp · Felicity McFillin dnp · Marisa Taylor dnp · Morgan Ainsworth dnp · Taylor Sipfle dnp
Team stats
Final| Denver | Air Force | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-49 | FG | 25-67 |
| 30.6% | FG% | 37.3% |
| 1-12 | 3PT | 6-20 |
| 8.3% | 3PT% | 30.0% |
| 14-22 | FT | 10-11 |
| 34 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 8 | Off reb | 15 |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 11 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 27 |
69.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedDenver 56.6 · Air Force 66.2
Our lineAir Force −9.6
Total122.8
Win probAir Force 79% · Denver 21%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.