USC Trojans vs UNLV Lady Rebels
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
USC100
UNLV68FinalT-Mobile ArenaNeutral floorScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USC | 29 | 23 | 31 | 17 | 100 |
 UNLV | 15 | 24 | 10 | 19 | 68 |
Box score
FinalUSC Trojans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazzy DavidsonG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 10-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kennedy SmithG | 27 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| JuJu WatkinsG | 25 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 9-22 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Saniyah HallG | 23 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sara OkekeF | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Sitaya FaganF | 17 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pania DavisC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Ryann BennettG | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Laura WilliamsF | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Rian ForestierG | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooklyn ShamblinG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Alesia TalkouskayaG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 100 | 35 | 17 | 40-68 | 8-22 | 12-19 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 21 |
UNLV Lady Rebels
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmyn LottG | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Norah MooF | 27 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jayla ConstantG | 25 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| Trystan JamesF | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Meadow RolandF | 23 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Bergan KinnebrewG | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Marley WashenitzG | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Maia RosarionG | 12 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Keonni LewisG | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Arianna DavisF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terri'A RussellF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan WilliamsG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 68 | 40 | 11 | 22-63 | 7-20 | 17-24 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 16 |
Did not play Ava Bergeson dnp
Team stats
Final| USC | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-68 | FG | 22-63 |
| 58.8% | FG% | 34.9% |
| 8-22 | 3PT | 7-20 |
| 36.4% | 3PT% | 35.0% |
| 12-19 | FT | 17-24 |
| 35 | Rebounds | 40 |
| 14 | Off reb | 21 |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 13 | Steals | 4 |
| 8 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
77.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedUSC 72.2 · UNLV 57.5
Our lineUSC −14.8
Total129.7
Win probUNLV 11% · USC 89%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.