Saint Louis Billikens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Saint Louis84
MTSU91Final/OTMurphy CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saint Louis | 15 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 84 |
 MTSU | 24 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 91 |
Box score
FinalSaint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyonna BaileyG | 39 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Mia BergstromG | 37 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Jahda DenisG | 31 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 |
| Jameela JamesC | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| D'Myjah BoldsF | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Peyton OlufsonG | 20 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Alyssa KoerkenmeierC | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Evelyn ShaneF | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Gabby SpinkG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jasaiyah WallaceF | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Jada TiggettF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 84 | 35 | 15 | 27-51 | 11-27 | 19-25 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 37 |
Did not play Naomi Ikpotokin dnp
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair BaugusG | 45 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mya KoneG | 40 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Stanislava KabernickF | 34 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Kirston VerhulstG | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 8-12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Maayan CohenG | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Xai WhitfieldG | 19 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Aaliyah BlanchardG | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Carsyn SwaneyG | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nicole DominguezC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Gracie HambyG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | — | 91 | 46 | 11 | 24-75 | 7-37 | 36-46 | 23 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 23 |
Did not play Elisa Mehyar dnp · Jenna McClendon dnp · Kennedi Neale dnp · McLayne Bobo dnp · Nora Ahamadi dnp
Team stats
Final| Saint Louis | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-51 | FG | 24-75 |
| 52.9% | FG% | 32.0% |
| 11-27 | 3PT | 7-37 |
| 40.7% | 3PT% | 18.9% |
| 19-25 | FT | 36-46 |
| 35 | Rebounds | 46 |
| 3 | Off reb | 23 |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 17 |
| 10 | Blocks | 1 |
| 28 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 37 | Fouls | 23 |
88.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedSaint Louis 59.6 · MTSU 67.8
Our lineMTSU −8.2
Total127.3
Win probMTSU 76% · Saint Louis 24%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.