Cal State Fullerton Titans vs San Diego State Aztecs
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Fullerton51
San Diego St77FinalViejas ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fullerton | 11 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 51 |
 San Diego St | 18 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 77 |
Box score
FinalCal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan SwindleG | 36 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 8-22 | 4-14 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jana FalsdottirG | 32 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Juliana AragonG | 32 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ashari CassellG | 31 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Talia MaxwellF | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mimi MoonG | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Bernadette CarranzaG | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shadel FfrenchF | 11 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 51 | 27 | 9 | 14-55 | 7-27 | 16-21 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 9 |
Did not play Alexis Price dnp · Alyssa Dreessen dnp · Anasia Wilcox dnp · Jennifer Hawkins dnp · Maxine Sutisna dnp · Nyemah King dnp
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alayna KrausG | 21 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa JacksonG | 21 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Izzy NavarroG | 20 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Natalia MartinezG | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Eva DeChentG | 19 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nayli PadillaG | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dionne MadjoF | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bailey BarnhardF | 17 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Kennedy LeeF | 15 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mayenabasi AkpanF | 10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Maria KonstantinidouF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Mairead HeartyF | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Ellie ChenG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 77 | 47 | 22 | 35-69 | 3-16 | 4-8 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
Did not play Naomi Panganiban dnp
Team stats
Final| Fullerton | San Diego St | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-55 | FG | 35-69 |
| 25.5% | FG% | 50.7% |
| 7-27 | 3PT | 3-16 |
| 25.9% | 3PT% | 18.8% |
| 16-21 | FT | 4-8 |
| 27 | Rebounds | 47 |
| 5 | Off reb | 10 |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
71.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedFullerton 60.5 · San Diego St 76.7
Our lineSan Diego St −16.2
Total137.2
Win probSan Diego St 91% · Fullerton 9%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.