California Baptist Lancers vs Oregon State Beavers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
CA Baptist79
Oregon St77FinalGill ColiseumScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CA Baptist | 18 | 13 | 32 | 16 | 79 |
 Oregon St | 21 | 6 | 32 | 18 | 77 |
Box score
FinalCalifornia Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe BriggsG | 39 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Lauren OlsenG | 38 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 10-21 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sofia AlonsoG | 36 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Josie AgnewG | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| McKinley WillardsonF | 22 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Reyleigh HessF | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Spela BreceljF | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sienna GriegerG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 79 | 38 | 16 | 32-78 | 9-26 | 6-17 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
Did not play Bella Klages dnp · Ella Linder dnp · Marta De La Fuente dnp · Novelle McQuiston dnp · Paula Haw dnp
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor YoungG | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kennedie ShulerG | 36 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Lara Alonso-BasurtoF | 32 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Jenna VillaG | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| Katelyn FieldG | 24 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ashley UusitaloG | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Keira LindemansG | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Evelini SmithF | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Maggie WarpusF | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mackenzie ShiversG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 77 | 41 | 15 | 28-56 | 3-14 | 18-22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 |
Did not play Ally Schimel dnp · Catarina Ferreira dnp · Mariia Ignatchenko dnp
Team stats
Final| CA Baptist | Oregon St | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-78 | FG | 28-56 |
| 41.0% | FG% | 50.0% |
| 9-26 | 3PT | 3-14 |
| 34.6% | 3PT% | 21.4% |
| 6-17 | FT | 18-22 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 15 | Off reb | 5 |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
78.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedCA Baptist 62.7 · Oregon St 71.6
Our lineOregon St −8.9
Total134.2
Win probOregon St 78% · CA Baptist 22%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.