Sacramento State Hornets vs UT Arlington Mavericks
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Sacramento St67
UT Arlington61FinalCollege Park CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento St | 15 | 22 | 14 | 16 | 67 |
 UT Arlington | 14 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 61 |
Box score
FinalSacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie PictonG | 39 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Koko AkridgeG | 37 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Elizabeth AbiaraF | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jelena SavicG | 24 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Alexis HessF | 22 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Tali Fa'iG | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Jenessa CottonF | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Achol MagotC | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Ajong LualC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Jordan BarlowG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 67 | 38 | 11 | 21-47 | 3-17 | 22-27 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 23 |
Did not play Brooklynn Charlo dnp · Jaety Mandaquit dnp · Jamiah Fontenberry dnp · Jeniece Harmon dnp · Pinja Paananen dnp
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea BishopG | 31 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Ava RaymondG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Amaya WilliamsG | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalyn BrownG | 22 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Journee HamptonG | 22 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Nisaa MuhammadG | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Amiyah ReynoldsG | 21 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Morane DossouF | 20 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Faith CarsonF | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Liz MurphyG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 61 | 34 | 11 | 20-60 | 6-16 | 15-25 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 28 |
Did not play Ahniyah Bennett dnp · Jemima Yowa dnp · Katelyn Brinkley dnp · Keshanti Gordon dnp · Miraya Perkins dnp
Team stats
Final| Sacramento St | UT Arlington | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-47 | FG | 20-60 |
| 44.7% | FG% | 33.3% |
| 3-17 | 3PT | 6-16 |
| 17.6% | 3PT% | 37.5% |
| 22-27 | FT | 15-25 |
| 38 | Rebounds | 34 |
| 12 | Off reb | 17 |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 28 |
69.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Tuesday, November 3ProjectedSacramento St 65.8 · UT Arlington 67.4
Our lineUT Arlington −1.5
Total133.2
Win probUT Arlington 55% · Sacramento St 45%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.