Presbyterian Blue Hose vs UNC Greensboro Spartans
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Presbyterian50
UNC Greensboro58FinalBodford ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Presbyterian | 10 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 50 |
 UNC Greensboro | 15 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 58 |
Box score
FinalPresbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystal HaddockG | 31 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Aretha LingerG | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Yolanda FloydG | 25 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Azjah ReevesG | 24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Yasmeen BrightwellG | 24 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Alyssa FebresG | 23 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Saoirse SmartF | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kyaija StewartF | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dylande InnocentF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | — | 50 | 36 | 10 | 20-65 | 3-13 | 7-11 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
Did not play Fiona Diomande dnp · Inna Dimova dnp · Ore Ogunwolere dnp · Samantha Mullock dnp
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose SimpsonG | 35 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Leyla MinorG | 35 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Savannah Robinson-HolmesG | 34 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Gloria TonyG | 32 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Kristina RakotobeF | 28 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tiarna Chambers-DesmondF | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Joelle DavisG | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Laneigh ScalesF | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sydney MurphyG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Kyla CanteyG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 58 | 41 | 9 | 21-50 | 1-11 | 15-19 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 13 |
Did not play Amy Jakpa dnp · Clara Felix dnp · Marina Kusanovic dnp · Nina Stavrov dnp · Salimata Traore dnp
Team stats
Final| Presbyterian | UNC Greensboro | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-65 | FG | 21-50 |
| 30.8% | FG% | 42.0% |
| 3-13 | 3PT | 1-11 |
| 23.1% | 3PT% | 9.1% |
| 7-11 | FT | 15-19 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 15 | Off reb | 10 |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
68.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedPresbyterian 51.0 · UNC Greensboro 73.5
Our lineUNC Greensboro −22.5
Total124.5
Win probUNC Greensboro 96% · Presbyterian 4%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.