Detroit Mercy Titans vs Illinois Fighting Illini
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Detroit Mercy50
Illinois84FinalState Farm CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Mercy | 14 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 50 |
 Illinois | 21 | 15 | 27 | 21 | 84 |
Box score
FinalDetroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla JacksonG | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Paula LopezG | 27 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Naïma DiawaraF | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Maya AndersonG | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marie OutlayG | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Anna LassanF | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Stephanie UtomiF | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Addisen MastrianoC | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Colleena BryantG | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stacy UtomiG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alonna DivineG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nina RodriguezG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 50 | 23 | 5 | 17-55 | 5-19 | 11-24 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 27 |
Did not play Audrey Tchako Tchako dnp · Cameron McMaster dnp · Marianna Jones dnp
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berry WallaceF | 30 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Cearah ParchmentF | 27 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 9-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Gretchen DolanG | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Destiny JacksonG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jasmine Brown-HaggerG | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Maddie WebberG | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Aaliyah GuytonG | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Manuella AlvesF | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Divine BourrageG | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lety VasconcelosC | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 84 | 53 | 21 | 26-57 | 5-16 | 27-33 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 17 |
Did not play Irene Noya Catoira dnp · Lana Brenjo dnp · Mia Zenere dnp · Morgan Baptist dnp · Ona Riopedre dnp
Team stats
Final| Detroit Mercy | Illinois | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-55 | FG | 26-57 |
| 30.9% | FG% | 45.6% |
| 5-19 | 3PT | 5-16 |
| 26.3% | 3PT% | 31.3% |
| 11-24 | FT | 27-33 |
| 23 | Rebounds | 53 |
| 8 | Off reb | 18 |
| 5 | Assists | 21 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
70.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedDetroit Mercy 49.9 · Illinois 86.8
Our lineIllinois −37.0
Total136.7
Win probIllinois 99% · Detroit Mercy 1%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.