Morehead State Eagles vs Kentucky Wildcats
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Morehead St42
Kentucky85FinalMemorial Coliseum (KY)Scoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Morehead St | 4 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 42 |
 Kentucky | 18 | 24 | 21 | 22 | 85 |
Box score
FinalMorehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi SmithG | 36 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Kensley FeltnerG | 29 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| Kamora MorganG | 29 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Lanae RileyF | 28 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Allie SykesG | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Alonna PooleG | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Breayah JeffersonG | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Courtney SmithG | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Millie PearsonF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Samaria TaylorG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Juliana RodgerG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 42 | 30 | 7 | 17-55 | 4-12 | 4-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
Did not play Marissa Green dnp
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajsa SivkaG | 27 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Asia BooneG | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Me'Arah O'NealF | 23 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Savvy SwordsF | 23 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Clara StrackC | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Diana CollinsG | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maddyn GreenwayG | 22 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Emily McDonaldG | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ayanna PattersonF | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jemma AmooreG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabby BrooksG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 85 | 49 | 20 | 34-76 | 5-23 | 12-15 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
Did not play Dominika Paurova dnp
Team stats
Final| Morehead St | Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-55 | FG | 34-76 |
| 30.9% | FG% | 44.7% |
| 4-12 | 3PT | 5-23 |
| 33.3% | 3PT% | 21.7% |
| 4-9 | FT | 12-15 |
| 30 | Rebounds | 49 |
| 7 | Off reb | 16 |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 11 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
73.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedMorehead St 47.2 · Kentucky 82.4
Our lineKentucky −35.2
Total129.6
Win probKentucky 99% · Morehead St 1%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.