Chattanooga Mocs vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Chattanooga50
Western KY61FinalE.A. Diddle ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chattanooga | 2 | 21 | 14 | 13 | 50 |
 Western KY | 11 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 61 |
Box score
FinalChattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah OwonaG | 34 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| TaTianna StovallF | 29 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Gabbie GroomsG | 27 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| Izzy McPhersonG | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Ava CardG | 27 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Lydia LedfordG | 19 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| London WeaverG | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Evie BruceG | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Falon BedkeF | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Aaliyah StoryF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 50 | 37 | 13 | 20-52 | 3-15 | 7-13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
Did not play Caelan Ellis dnp · Kami Wilson dnp · Sinae Hill dnp
Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josie GilvinG | 37 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Trinity RoweG | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kamille BrownG | 30 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Hayven SmithF | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Torri JamesF | 23 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jamila RayG | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Ellery MinchF | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tatum BoettjerF | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 61 | 41 | 10 | 19-59 | 4-22 | 19-24 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 19 |
Did not play Ava Moore dnp · Elif Naz Dal dnp · Elise Coleman dnp · Enni Ahervuo dnp · Lola Bond dnp · Mafalda Fontan dnp
Team stats
Final| Chattanooga | Western KY | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-52 | FG | 19-59 |
| 38.5% | FG% | 32.2% |
| 3-15 | 3PT | 4-22 |
| 20.0% | 3PT% | 18.2% |
| 7-13 | FT | 19-24 |
| 37 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 10 | Off reb | 16 |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
66.1 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Wednesday, November 4ProjectedChattanooga 60.8 · Western KY 58.1
Our lineChattanooga −2.6
Total118.9
Win probWestern KY 41% · Chattanooga 59%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.