Georgia State Panthers vs Buffalo Bulls
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Georgia St81
Buffalo82FinalBroadview ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia St | 16 | 13 | 32 | 20 | 81 |
 Buffalo | 15 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 82 |
Box score
FinalGeorgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace LanierG | 40 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 12-18 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Kenaya KlintmanG | 36 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Aryelle StevensF | 26 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ana Oliveira DiasG | 26 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Danaeja Romero Ah SamG | 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Aaliyah BaldwinG | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Mariah KnightF | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Makennah AlexisG | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Aikaterini YfantopoulouG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jada CollinsF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 81 | 21 | 17 | 33-64 | 6-25 | 9-13 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
Did not play Dawson Jemerson dnp · Frankee Payne dnp · Nikole Thomas dnp
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meg LucasF | 37 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Ella CorryG | 33 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Asia WilsonG | 32 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Briana YoungG | 29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Ava LaMonicaG | 27 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 9-14 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| Ella WickstromG | 25 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jadeah MarshallC | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | — | 82 | 37 | 22 | 32-53 | 4-13 | 14-20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 14 |
Did not play Aniya Rowe dnp · Annabelle Day dnp · Deana Thompson dnp · Diann Jackson dnp · Kyleigh Hall dnp · Layla Hearne dnp · Natavia Alber dnp · Oyinkansola Soetan dnp
Team stats
Final| Georgia St | Buffalo | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-64 | FG | 32-53 |
| 51.6% | FG% | 60.4% |
| 6-25 | 3PT | 4-13 |
| 24.0% | 3PT% | 30.8% |
| 9-13 | FT | 14-20 |
| 21 | Rebounds | 37 |
| 4 | Off reb | 9 |
| 17 | Assists | 22 |
| 17 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 25 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
77.3 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way.
What the model says
Monday, November 2ProjectedGeorgia St 74.2 · Buffalo 69.4
Our lineGeorgia St −4.8
Total143.7
Win probBuffalo 34% · Georgia St 66%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.