Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Senators1
Maple Leafs6FinalSOG OTT 14 – TOR 36Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st06:35Tim Stützle (1)backhand · from Burakovsky and KyrouOTT 1 – TOR 0
- 07:45Jake McCabe (1)wrist shot · from Tavares and RoslovicOTT 1 – TOR 1
- 19:09John Tavares (1)wrist shot · from Nylander and McKennaOTT 1 – TOR 2
- 2nd04:49Jack Roslovic (1)PPG · wrist shot · from Tavares and MatthewsOTT 1 – TOR 3
- 16:53Zack MacEwen (1)wrist shot · from CowanOTT 1 – TOR 4
- 19:13Morgan Rielly (1)snap shot · from Raddysh and MatthewsOTT 1 – TOR 5
- 3rd06:10Auston Matthews (1)snap shot · from Roslovic and Ekman-LarssonOTT 1 – TOR 6
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 14 | 05 | 05 | 1 | 14 |
| TOR | 210 | 315 | 111 | 6 | 36 |
Three stars
- ★
J. TavaresTOR · C · 1 G, 2 A - ★★
J. RoslovicTOR · C · 1 G, 2 A - ★★★
A. MatthewsTOR · C · 1 G, 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.3 | 3 | 1.17 | 1 |
| Tim StützleOTT | 2.6 | 2 | 1.03 | 1 |
| Drake BathersonOTT | 2.3 | 0 | 0.87 | 0 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.1 | 5 | 0.83 | 3 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.4 | 1 | 0.81 | 1 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.1 | 4 | 0.81 | 3 |
| Matthew KniesTOR | 1.5 | 1 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Shane PintoOTT | 2.5 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.7 | 1 | 0.56 | 1 |
| Michael AmadioOTT | 1.5 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 1.7 | 4 | 0.49 | 3 |
| Bo GroulxTOR | 1.3 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 |
| Morgan RiellyTOR | 1.5 | 4 | 0.42 | 1 |
| Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 1.1 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 |
| Andre BurakovskyOTT | 1.2 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 |
| Tyler KlevenOTT | 1.8 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 |
Box score
FinalOttawa Senators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. StützleC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21:29 |
| A. BurakovskyL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:08 |
| C. KyrouD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:47 |
| C. YakemchukD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25:29 |
| T. KlevenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20:12 |
| D. BathersonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| P. TomasinoR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:50 |
| S. HarringtonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 |
| S. BolducD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 |
| M. AmadioR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| N. MatinpaloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 |
| S. PintoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 |
| P. DaoustC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 |
| E. Bakke OlsenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| K. HalttunenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 |
| O. PetterssonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| H. HodgsonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 09:53 |
| L. EllinasL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 08:39 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Meriläinen | 27 | 21 | 6 | .778 | 46:10 | L |
| J. Parsons | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 13:50 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:13 |
| J. RoslovicC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:32 |
| J. TavaresC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 |
| J. McCabeD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:32 |
| M. RiellyD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:08 |
| Z. MacEwenR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11:10 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20:51 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:43 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:01 |
| M. KniesL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:27 |
| M. PezzettaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 12:31 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 04:42 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| OTT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shots on goal | 36 |
| 23/54 | Faceoffs | 31/54 |
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 31 | Penalty minutes | 33 |
| 26 | Hits | 23 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 6 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreOTT 3.5 – TOR 2.8
Win chanceOTT 59%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.