Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Maple Leafs4
Senators2FinalSOG TOR 24 – OTT 21Canadian Tire CentreScoring
Final- 2nd03:51Henrik Rybinski (2)PPG · snap shot · from Lettieri and BlankenburgTOR 1 – OTT 0
- 06:18Dylan Cozens (2)wrist shot · UnassistedTOR 1 – OTT 1
- 3rd10:01Steven Lorentz (1)tip-in · from Rifai and DuhaimeTOR 2 – OTT 1
- 10:42Hoyt Stanley (1)backhand · from Hamara and GirouxTOR 2 – OTT 2
- 15:43Ryan Tverberg (1)snap shot · from Quillan and SmithTOR 3 – OTT 2
- 19:52Teddy Blueger (1)PPG · snap shot · UnassistedTOR 4 – OTT 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 04 | 110 | 310 | 4 | 24 |
| OTT | 05 | 18 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
Three stars
- ★
R. TverbergTOR · C · 1 G - ★★
H. StanleyOTT · D · 1 G - ★★★
S. LorentzTOR · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan CozensOTT | 2.7 | 1 | 0.77 | 1 |
| William EklundOTT | 2.2 | 0 | 0.65 | 0 |
| Claude GirouxOTT | 1.8 | 2 | 0.61 | 1 |
| Ridly GreigOTT | 2.0 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Teddy BluegerTOR | 1.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 1 |
| Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 1.7 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 |
| Luke HaymesTOR | 1.2 | 0 | 0.40 | 0 |
| Stephen HallidayOTT | 1.2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 |
| Nick CousinsOTT | 1.3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0 |
| Brendan BrissonTOR | 1.0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| Steven LorentzTOR | 1.0 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 |
| Ryan TverbergTOR | 0.9 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 |
| Cameron CrottyOTT | 1.1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 |
| Jacob QuillanTOR | 0.9 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 |
| Emil AndraeTOR | 0.5 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 |
| Brandon DuhaimeTOR | 0.8 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 |
Box score
FinalToronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. BluegerC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| S. LorentzC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| H. RybinskiR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:28 |
| R. TverbergC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 |
| M. RifaiD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:32 |
| V. LettieriC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:44 |
| B. SmithD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:00 |
| J. QuillanC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:01 |
| N. BlankenburgD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:01 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:11 |
| B. DanfordD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:40 |
| P. MyersD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:40 |
| E. AndraeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 |
| M. HolinkaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| T. KoblarC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 |
| B. BrissonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14:52 |
| L. HaymesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:57 |
| L. SimR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 09:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 60:00 | W |
Ottawa Senators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. StanleyD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:30 |
| D. CozensC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 |
| T. HamaraD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| C. GirouxR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 |
| B. HuttonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22:31 |
| W. EklundL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 |
| D. ToureD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 |
| C. CrottyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18:25 |
| R. GreigC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 |
| F. ZetterlundL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:34 |
| S. HallidayC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:30 |
| M. AndonovskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15:23 |
| X. BourgaultR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 |
| B. MontgomeryL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| T. BoucherR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 |
| N. CousinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:06 |
| S. BlaisL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 11:31 |
| R. SuzukiC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ullmark | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 58:50 | L |
Team stats
Final| TOR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots on goal | 21 |
| 18/42 | Faceoffs | 24/42 |
| 2/5 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 24 | Penalty minutes | 30 |
| 11 | Hits | 30 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTOR 2.8 – OTT 3.6
Win chanceOTT 63%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.