Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Sabres2
Red Wings3Final/OTSOG BUF 19 – DET 26Little Caesars ArenaScoring
Final- 1st10:48Trevor Kuntar (1)snap shot · from RichardBUF 1 – DET 0
- 16:11Axel Sandin-Pellikka (2)PPG · slap shot · from Johansson and FinnieBUF 1 – DET 1
- 2nd00:33Jiri Kulich (1)wrist shot · from Ostlund and MrtkaBUF 2 – DET 1
- 3rd07:13Sheldon Dries (1)tip-in · from Bryson and SkoogBUF 2 – DET 2
- OT00:33Alex DeBrincat (1)PPG · slap shot · from Raymond and SeiderBUF 2 – DET 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 17 | 16 | 06 | 00 | 2 | 19 |
| DET | 18 | 06 | 110 | 12 | 3 | 26 |
Three stars
- ★
A. DeBrincatDET · R · 1 G - ★★
S. DriesDET · C · 1 G - ★★★
J.KulichBUF · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincatDET | 3.6 | 8 | 1.02 | 1 |
| Lucas RaymondDET | 2.2 | 2 | 0.88 | 1 |
| Moritz SeiderDET | 2.3 | 1 | 0.70 | 1 |
| Andrew CoppDET | 1.7 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Wilmer SkoogDET | 1.7 | 1 | 0.54 | 1 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.2 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Jiri KulichBUF | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Konsta HeleniusBUF | 1.4 | 2 | 0.43 | 0 |
| Emmitt FinnieDET | 1.6 | 1 | 0.40 | 1 |
| John LeonardDET | 1.2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 |
| Justin DanforthBUF | 1.2 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 |
| Nate DanielsonDET | 1.2 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 |
| Carter MazurDET | 1.0 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 |
| Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET | 1.4 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 |
| Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET | 0.9 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 |
| Mason AppletonDET | 1.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 |
Box score
FinalBuffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. KuntarC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:55 |
| J.KulichC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:56 |
| R. MrtkaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:22 |
| J. RichardR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24:35 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:17 |
| D. GilbertD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21:55 |
| M. PecaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:47 |
| J. DanforthR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 |
| G. McCarthyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:34 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:58 |
| V. KomarovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16:05 |
| T. BordeleauC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:40 |
| R. JohnsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:01 |
| L. ValenteC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 |
| J. PolinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 |
| A. McDonoughL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:53 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lyon | 8 | 7 | 1 | .875 | 18:00 | |
| C. Ellis | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 41:59 | O |
Detroit Red Wings
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sandin-PellikkaD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:33 |
| A. DeBrincatR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:37 |
| S. DriesC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:52 |
| M. SeiderD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 |
| L. RaymondL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 |
| A. JohanssonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:46 |
| J. BrysonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 |
| E. FinnieC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:50 |
| W. SkoogC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:00 |
| A. CoppC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:36 |
| J. Bernard-DockerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 20:55 |
| N. DanielsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:19 |
| W. WallinderD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:21 |
| M. AppletonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 |
| M. Brandsegg-NygårdR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 |
| C. MazurL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:30 |
| D. ShineR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 09:29 |
| J. LeonardL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:28 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tarasov | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 60:24 | W |
Team stats
Final| BUF | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Shots on goal | 26 |
| 30/57 | Faceoffs | 27/57 |
| 0/4 | Power play | 2/4 |
| 17 | Penalty minutes | 17 |
| 15 | Hits | 21 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 24 | Giveaways | 13 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreBUF 3.2 – DET 3.1
Win chanceBUF 52%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.