Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Panthers5
Lightning3FinalSOG FLA 25 – TBL 28Benchmark International ArenaScoring
Final- 1st19:44Bokondji Imama (1)deflection · from Sebrango and LaffertyFLA 1 – TBL 0
- 2nd02:29Kai Schwindt (1)snap shot · from Reinhardt and HovorkaFLA 2 – TBL 0
- 03:14Jansen Harkins (1)snap shot · from Mikheyev and MoserFLA 2 – TBL 1
- 13:09Conor Geekie (2)snap shot · from O'Reilly and RautiainenFLA 2 – TBL 2
- 3rd04:21Hunter St. Martin (1)backhand · from Petrovic and SchwindtFLA 3 – TBL 2
- 05:29Jansen Harkins (2)snap shot · from McDonagh and PelletierFLA 3 – TBL 3
- 05:35Cole Reinhardt (3)snap shot · UnassistedFLA 4 – TBL 3
- 19:36Sandis Vilmanis (1)snap shot · from BalinskisFLA 5 – TBL 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 14 | 110 | 311 | 5 | 25 |
| TBL | 05 | 211 | 112 | 3 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
C. ReinhardtFLA · L · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
J. HarkinsTBL · C · 2 G - ★★★
C. GeekieTBL · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.8 | 3 | 1.70 | 0 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.7 | 4 | 1.18 | 0 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 2.9 | 3 | 1.12 | 0 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.1 | 4 | 0.88 | 0 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.0 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.8 | 1 | 0.79 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.6 | 0 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Victor HedmanTBL | 1.3 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 |
| Ryan McDonaghTBL | 0.9 | 2 | 0.44 | 1 |
| Marek AlscherFLA | 1.3 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 |
| J.J. MoserTBL | 1.3 | 0 | 0.38 | 1 |
| Cole SchwindtFLA | 1.2 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 |
| Cole ReinhardtFLA | 1.1 | 2 | 0.35 | 2 |
| Conor GeekieTBL | 1.0 | 3 | 0.34 | 1 |
| Uvis BalinskisFLA | 1.3 | 1 | 0.32 | 1 |
| Sandis VilmanisFLA | 0.9 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 |
Box score
FinalFlorida Panthers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. ReinhardtL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| K. SchwindtL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:33 |
| S. VilmanisL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:32 |
| B. ImamaL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 |
| H. St. MartinL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:57 |
| A. PetrovicD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24:03 |
| U. BalinskisD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 22:32 |
| D. SebrangoD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:11 |
| S. LaffertyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:36 |
| M. HovorkaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:13 |
| M. AlscherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21:15 |
| J. BeecherC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:49 |
| L. EllerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 |
| M. ShuravinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:20 |
| N. BastianR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 |
| C. SchwindtR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:46 |
| G. HathawayR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 |
| A. CrookshankC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:07 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gerasimyuk | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 20:00 | W |
| C. Black | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 40:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. HarkinsC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 |
| C. GeekieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| S. O'ReillyR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14:26 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 |
| B. RautiainenC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 |
| J. PelletierL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 09:48 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:51 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:44 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:12 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:37 |
| E. LillebergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:30 |
| S. SabourinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 56:34 | L |
Team stats
Final| FLA | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 24/59 | Faceoffs | 35/59 |
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 10 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 41 | Hits | 26 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreFLA 3.0 – TBL 3.4
Win chanceTBL 56%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.