Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning3
Panthers2Final/SOSOG TBL 22 – FLA 22Amerant Bank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st08:50Lucas Mercuri (1)snap shot · from Abruzzese and VielTBL 1 – FLA 0
- 17:58Sandis Vilmanis (2)wrist shot · from SchwindtTBL 1 – FLA 1
- 2nd02:03Matvei Shuravin (1)wrist shot · from Sawchyn and HovorkaTBL 1 – FLA 2
- 3rd12:58Benjamin Rautiainen (1)PPG · wrist shot · from Goncalves and GeekieTBL 2 – FLA 2
- SO00:00Benjamin Rautiainenwrist shot · UnassistedTBL 3 – FLA 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 18 | 06 | 17 | 01 | 10 | 3 | 22 |
| FLA | 16 | 19 | 06 | 01 | 00 | 2 | 22 |
Three stars
- ★
B. RautiainenTBL · C · 1 G - ★★
D. HildebyTBL · G · .909 SV% - ★★★
L. MercuriTBL · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.3 | 2 | 0.56 | 1 |
| Marek AlscherFLA | 1.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 0 |
| Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 1.1 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 |
| Cole SchwindtFLA | 1.2 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 |
| Cole ReinhardtFLA | 1.1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 |
| Pontus HolmbergTBL | 1.2 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 |
| Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 1.2 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| Conor GeekieTBL | 1.0 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 |
| Uvis BalinskisFLA | 1.3 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 |
| Dylan DukeTBL | 1.0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| Max CrozierTBL | 1.3 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 |
| Sandis VilmanisFLA | 0.9 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 |
| John BeecherFLA | 1.2 | 0 | 0.30 | 0 |
| Jeffrey VielTBL | 1.3 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 |
| Jakob PelletierTBL | 1.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 |
| Donovan SebrangoFLA | 1.0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. RautiainenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 |
| L. MercuriC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:36 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:56 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:53 |
| N. AbruzzeseC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:22 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25:59 |
| M. CallahanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 |
| M. GroshevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 |
| S. O'ReillyR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 |
| J. TinordiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 |
| J. PelletierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:59 |
| N. SteenL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:36 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:24 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:25 |
| M. PietroniroD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:45 |
| D. DukeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12:08 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hildeby | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 64:40 | W |
Florida Panthers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ShuravinD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:22 |
| S. VilmanisL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:15 |
| M. HovorkaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:22 |
| G. SawchynC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:54 |
| K. SchwindtL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:34 |
| U. BalinskisD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24:46 |
| A. PetrovicD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:10 |
| J. BeecherC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 |
| M. AlscherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:33 |
| D. SebrangoD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18:04 |
| N. BastianR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| J. DevineR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 |
| C. SchwindtR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| S. LaffertyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14:34 |
| B. ImamaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 |
| C. ReinhardtL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 |
| G. HathawayR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13:35 |
| H. St. MartinL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schmid | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 64:42 | O |
Team stats
Final| TBL | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Shots on goal | 22 |
| 32/53 | Faceoffs | 21/53 |
| 1/6 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 21 | Penalty minutes | 27 |
| 26 | Hits | 37 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 7 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 3.3 – FLA 3.1
Win chanceTBL 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.