Montréal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Canadiens3
Maple Leafs2FinalSOG MTL 24 – TOR 28Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st00:48William Nylander (1)wrist shot · from Rielly and MarchenkoMTL 0 – TOR 1
- 10:53Josh Anderson (1)batted · from Carrier and DachMTL 1 – TOR 1
- 2nd04:52Zachary Bolduc (1)wrist shot · from Matheson and AndersonMTL 2 – TOR 1
- 3rd13:12Alexandre Carrier (1)wrist shot · UnassistedMTL 3 – TOR 1
- 15:46William Nylander (2)wrist shot · from Cowan and TavaresMTL 3 – TOR 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 110 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 24 |
| TOR | 111 | 06 | 111 | 2 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
A. CarrierMTL · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
W. NylanderTOR · R · 2 G - ★★★
J. AndersonMTL · R · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.6 | 5 | 1.26 | 2 |
| Nick SuzukiMTL | 2.6 | 2 | 1.26 | 0 |
| Cole CaufieldMTL | 3.5 | 3 | 1.12 | 0 |
| Lane HutsonMTL | 1.9 | 0 | 1.02 | 0 |
| Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 2.8 | 2 | 1.02 | 0 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.4 | 4 | 0.90 | 1 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.7 | 3 | 0.88 | 0 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.5 | 3 | 0.88 | 0 |
| Ivan DemidovMTL | 2.0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Chris KreiderMTL | 2.2 | 1 | 0.71 | 0 |
| Alex NewhookMTL | 1.8 | 1 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.9 | 1 | 0.60 | 1 |
| Noah DobsonMTL | 2.2 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 1.9 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Teddy BluegerTOR | 1.6 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Mike MathesonMTL | 1.6 | 3 | 0.47 | 1 |
Box score
FinalMontréal Canadiens
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. CarrierD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:54 |
| J. AndersonR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 |
| Z. BolducR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 |
| M. MathesonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25:07 |
| K. DachC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 |
| L. HutsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24:07 |
| N. DobsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:56 |
| N. SuzukiC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:43 |
| J. SlafkovskýL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| A. NewhookC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 |
| C. CaufieldR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 |
| P. DanaultC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 |
| I. DemidovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 |
| J. EvansC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:50 |
| C. KreiderL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| A. XhekajD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:20 |
| A. TexierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 |
| J. StrubleD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dobes | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 59:36 | W |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. NylanderR | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:55 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:08 |
| J. TavaresC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16:36 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23:47 |
| A. MatthewsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:39 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18:07 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15:32 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:58 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 09:46 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 09:04 |
| Z. MacEwenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 05:25 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 58:45 | L |
Team stats
Final| MTL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 32/53 | Faceoffs | 21/53 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 28 | Hits | 23 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 21 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreMTL 3.4 – TOR 3.2
Win chanceMTL 53%
Total 6.5Over 51%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.