New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Islanders1
Maple Leafs2FinalSOG NYI 27 – TOR 26Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st07:14Colton Sissons (1)tip-in · from Paul and CowanNYI 0 – TOR 1
- 11:55Easton Cowan (1)PPG · wrist shot · from Roslovic and RiellyNYI 0 – TOR 2
- 3rd14:09Emil Heineman (1)SHG · snap shot · from HorvatNYI 1 – TOR 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 011 | 08 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
| TOR | 210 | 012 | 04 | 2 | 26 |
Three stars
- ★
A. StolarzTOR · G · .963 SV% - ★★
E. CowanTOR · R · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
C. SissonsTOR · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.6 | 1 | 1.12 | 0 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.8 | 3 | 0.84 | 0 |
| Bo HorvatNYI | 3.5 | 4 | 0.83 | 1 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.4 | 1 | 0.82 | 0 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.4 | 1 | 0.80 | 0 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.5 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 |
| Matthew SchaeferNYI | 3.0 | 3 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Kyle PalmieriNYI | 2.7 | 4 | 0.68 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.9 | 3 | 0.61 | 2 |
| Calum RitchieNYI | 1.8 | 2 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Brayden SchennNYI | 1.9 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Simon HolmstromNYI | 1.6 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Victor EklundNYI | 2.0 | 2 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 1.5 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Matias MaccelliNYI | 1.5 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 1.9 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 |
Box score
FinalNew York Islanders
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. HeinemanL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 |
| B. HorvatC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| M. SchaeferD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:45 |
| S. HolmstromR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 |
| A. PelechD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:51 |
| K. PalmieriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:35 |
| M. MaccelliL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 |
| T. DeAngeloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:14 |
| A. RomanovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:09 |
| R. PulockD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:27 |
| C. RitchieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:03 |
| L. StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:06 |
| B. SchennC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:27 |
| J. PageauC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| A. DuclairL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:17 |
| V. EklundR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:58 |
| O. PalatL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 |
| C. CizikasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 09:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 57:56 | L |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. CowanR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 |
| C. SissonsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:22 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:49 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:53 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:39 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:36 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 20:19 |
| A. MatthewsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:16 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:29 |
| J. TavaresC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:58 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:30 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14:39 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:32 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 09:49 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 58:22 | W |
Team stats
Final| NYI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots on goal | 26 |
| 20/50 | Faceoffs | 30/50 |
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 24 | Hits | 19 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreNYI 3.3 – TOR 3.1
Win chanceNYI 53%
Total 5.5Over 58%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.