Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning1
Rangers5FinalSOG TBL 24 – NYR 25Madison Square GardenScoring
Final- 1st05:34Mika Zibanejad (1)PPG · wrist shot · from Dorofeyev and FoxTBL 0 – NYR 1
- 10:51Pavel Dorofeyev (1)snap shot · from BjorkstrandTBL 0 – NYR 2
- 2nd01:40Eeli Tolvanen (1)wrist shot · from LabaTBL 0 – NYR 3
- 07:59Nikita Kucherov (1)backhand · from Mikheyev and PointTBL 1 – NYR 3
- 16:01Gabe Perreault (1)tip-in · from Fox and ZibanejadTBL 1 – NYR 4
- 3rd17:26Igor Shesterkin (1)wrist shot · UnassistedTBL 1 – NYR 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 08 | 110 | 06 | 1 | 24 |
| NYR | 27 | 211 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
Three stars
- ★
I. ShesterkinNYR · G · .958 SV% - ★★
P. DorofeyevNYR · R · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
M. ZibanejadNYR · C · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.9 | 1 | 1.44 | 1 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.8 | 3 | 1.06 | 0 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.0 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 |
| Mika ZibanejadNYR | 2.4 | 3 | 0.82 | 2 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.2 | 1 | 0.78 | 1 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.1 | 4 | 0.76 | 0 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.9 | 3 | 0.73 | 0 |
| Adam FoxNYR | 1.5 | 0 | 0.69 | 2 |
| Pavel DorofeyevNYR | 2.6 | 5 | 0.69 | 2 |
| Alexis LafrenièreNYR | 2.0 | 3 | 0.66 | 0 |
| J.T. MillerNYR | 1.8 | 1 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.4 | 0 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.7 | 0 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Gabe PerreaultNYR | 1.5 | 1 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Will CuylleNYR | 1.6 | 3 | 0.42 | 0 |
| Eeli TolvanenNYR | 1.5 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. KucherovR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24:07 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:38 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:56 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:02 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:41 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:40 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:56 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:07 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17:45 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:46 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14:54 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 |
| J. HarkinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 08:49 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 07:39 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 55:52 | L |
New York Rangers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ZibanejadC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18:53 |
| P. DorofeyevR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 |
| A. FoxD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 |
| E. TolvanenR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:18 |
| G. PerreaultR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 |
| N. LabaC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 |
| O. BjorkstrandR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 |
| V. GavrikovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 23:20 |
| M. PetterssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 21:38 |
| S. DurziD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:54 |
| B. SchneiderD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18:48 |
| J. MillerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15:33 |
| A. LafrenièreL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 |
| T. KartyeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 |
| J. VelenoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:45 |
| W. CuylleL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 |
| A. SmitsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:09 |
| J. ChmelarR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 06:18 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Shesterkin | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| TBL | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots on goal | 25 |
| 22/57 | Faceoffs | 35/57 |
| 0/7 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 16 |
| 31 | Hits | 22 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 23 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 3.2 – NYR 2.9
Win chanceTBL 55%
Total 5.5Over 55%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.