Florida Panthers vs San Jose Sharks
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Panthers3
Sharks4Final/OTSOG FLA 26 – SJS 32SAP Center at San JoseScoring
Final- 1st14:20Mason Marchment (1)wrist shot · UnassistedFLA 0 – SJS 1
- 2nd05:52Will Smith (1)SHG · wrist shot · from CelebriniFLA 0 – SJS 2
- 10:37Will Smith (2)PPG · slap shot · from Celebrini and CagnoniFLA 0 – SJS 3
- 17:10Eetu Luostarinen (1)PPG · backhand · from Eller and EkbladFLA 1 – SJS 3
- 3rd05:01Eetu Luostarinen (2)tip-in · from Kulikov and LundellFLA 2 – SJS 3
- 05:18Matthew Tkachuk (1)wrist shot · from BennettFLA 3 – SJS 3
- OT03:14Luca Cagnoni (1)wrist shot · from Smith and CelebriniFLA 3 – SJS 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 06 | 111 | 29 | 00 | 3 | 26 |
| SJS | 111 | 28 | 07 | 16 | 4 | 32 |
Three stars
- ★
W. SmithSJS · C · 2 G, 1 A - ★★
L. CagnoniSJS · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
M. CelebriniSJS · C · 3 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin CelebriniSJS | 3.1 | 7 | 1.17 | 3 |
| Sam ReinhartFLA | 2.6 | 2 | 0.86 | 0 |
| Matthew TkachukFLA | 2.6 | 2 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Brady TkachukFLA | 3.1 | 4 | 0.81 | 0 |
| Carter VerhaegheFLA | 2.6 | 0 | 0.77 | 0 |
| Will SmithSJS | 2.2 | 3 | 0.74 | 3 |
| Sam BennettFLA | 2.6 | 1 | 0.73 | 1 |
| Aleksander BarkovFLA | 2.3 | 1 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Anton LundellFLA | 2.2 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Alexander WennbergSJS | 1.3 | 3 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Mason MarchmentSJS | 1.7 | 4 | 0.62 | 1 |
| Seth JonesFLA | 1.8 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Collin GrafSJS | 1.5 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Igor ChernyshovSJS | 1.6 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Tyler ToffoliSJS | 1.7 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Kiefer SherwoodSJS | 2.0 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 |
Box score
FinalFlorida Panthers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. LuostarinenC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:28 |
| M. TkachukL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22:47 |
| A. EkbladD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:33 |
| S. BennettC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:49 |
| A. LundellC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 |
| D. KulikovD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:28 |
| L. EllerC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:57 |
| S. JonesD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:43 |
| S. ReinhartC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23:33 |
| N. MikkolaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:42 |
| B. TkachukL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:37 |
| C. VerhaegheC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| R. GudasD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:31 |
| U. BalinskisD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:52 |
| S. VilmanisL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 |
| A. BarkovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 09:15 |
| G. HathawayR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 06:03 |
| B. ImamaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 05:16 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schmid | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 63:14 | O |
San Jose Sharks
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. SmithC | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 |
| M. CelebriniC | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:57 |
| L. CagnoniD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 |
| M. MarchmentL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:44 |
| J. TroubaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 22:35 |
| A. WennbergC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:44 |
| N. AllanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:44 |
| M. KesselringD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:46 |
| D. OrlovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:55 |
| D. NurseD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:07 |
| C. GrafR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16:48 |
| B. GoodrowC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:09 |
| K. SherwoodL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14:01 |
| I. StenbergL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| I. ChernyshovL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:13 |
| M. MisaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 |
| Z. OstapchukC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:29 |
| T. ToffoliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:24 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 63:14 | W |
Team stats
Final| FLA | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 32 |
| 31/54 | Faceoffs | 23/54 |
| 1/6 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 18 | Penalty minutes | 22 |
| 41 | Hits | 24 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 9 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreFLA 3.2 – SJS 3.0
Win chanceFLA 53%
Total 6.5Under 55%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.