Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Senators3
Maple Leafs2FinalSOG OTT 29 – TOR 29Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st18:51Thomas Chabot (1)wrist shot · from Giroux and PintoOTT 1 – TOR 0
- 2nd00:33Auston Matthews (1)tip-in · from Rielly and NylanderOTT 1 – TOR 1
- 07:06Kirill Marchenko (1)PPG · backhand · from Raddysh and TavaresOTT 1 – TOR 2
- 12:40Michael Amadio (1)wrist shot · from Stützle and ChabotOTT 2 – TOR 2
- 3rd09:46Stephen Halliday (1)snap shot · from Zetterlund and GirouxOTT 3 – TOR 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 19 | 14 | 116 | 3 | 29 |
| TOR | 010 | 214 | 05 | 2 | 29 |
Three stars
- ★
T. ChabotOTT · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
C. GirouxOTT · R · 2 A - ★★★
K. MarchenkoTOR · R · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.3 | 2 | 1.04 | 1 |
| Tim StützleOTT | 2.6 | 2 | 0.96 | 1 |
| Drake BathersonOTT | 2.2 | 2 | 0.81 | 0 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.2 | 3 | 0.78 | 1 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.5 | 2 | 0.78 | 1 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.0 | 6 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Dylan CozensOTT | 2.6 | 2 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Jake SandersonOTT | 2.2 | 0 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Shane PintoOTT | 2.4 | 4 | 0.69 | 1 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.2 | 2 | 0.68 | 1 |
| William EklundOTT | 2.2 | 4 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.7 | 0 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Thomas ChabotOTT | 2.1 | 2 | 0.60 | 2 |
| Claude GirouxOTT | 1.8 | 4 | 0.58 | 2 |
| Michael AmadioOTT | 1.6 | 1 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Jordan SpenceOTT | 2.0 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
Box score
FinalOttawa Senators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. ChabotD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 27:06 |
| C. GirouxR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 |
| M. AmadioR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:13 |
| S. HallidayC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:07 |
| T. StützleC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22:51 |
| S. PintoC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20:27 |
| F. ZetterlundL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 |
| J. SpenceD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:30 |
| T. KlevenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21:43 |
| N. MatinpaloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:48 |
| D. BathersonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:02 |
| C. YakemchukD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:50 |
| D. CozensC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| W. EklundL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 |
| W. FoegeleL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 |
| N. CousinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 07:21 |
| H. HodgsonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 05:10 |
| J. SandersonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 04:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ullmark | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 60:00 | W |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:50 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19:26 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:46 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:23 |
| J. TavaresC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:10 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:45 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:28 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:49 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:07 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 09:51 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 07:22 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 58:50 | L |
Team stats
Final| OTT | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Shots on goal | 29 |
| 37/65 | Faceoffs | 28/65 |
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 10 | Penalty minutes | 10 |
| 29 | Hits | 18 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 1 | Takeaways | 4 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreOTT 3.4 – TOR 2.9
Win chanceOTT 58%
Total 6.5Under 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.