Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Capitals1
Lightning3FinalSOG WSH 21 – TBL 30Benchmark International ArenaScoring
Final- 1st02:26Charle-Edouard D'Astous (1)wrist shot · from Hagel and GuentzelWSH 0 – TBL 1
- 16:30Conor Geekie (1)wrist shot · from Hagel and GuentzelWSH 0 – TBL 2
- 2nd07:04Justin Sourdif (1)tip-in · from Chychrun and JennerWSH 1 – TBL 2
- 3rd17:55Jake Guentzel (1)wrist shot · from Kucherov and CarlsonWSH 1 – TBL 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 05 | 17 | 09 | 1 | 21 |
| TBL | 214 | 07 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
Three stars
- ★
A. VasilevskiyTBL · G · .952 SV% - ★★
B. HagelTBL · L · 2 A - ★★★
E. LillebergTBL · D
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.9 | 3 | 1.54 | 1 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.9 | 2 | 1.11 | 3 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.0 | 6 | 1.04 | 2 |
| Alex TuchWSH | 2.4 | 2 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.1 | 3 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Tom WilsonWSH | 2.0 | 2 | 0.78 | 0 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.1 | 0 | 0.77 | 1 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 2.0 | 1 | 0.77 | 0 |
| Alex OvechkinWSH | 2.5 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Dylan StromeWSH | 1.6 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 |
| Jakob ChychrunWSH | 2.3 | 2 | 0.63 | 1 |
| Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 1.9 | 0 | 0.62 | 0 |
| Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 1.4 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Ilya ProtasWSH | 1.5 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Boone JennerWSH | 1.9 | 3 | 0.56 | 1 |
| Ryan LeonardWSH | 1.8 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 |
Box score
FinalWashington Capitals
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. SourdifC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:24 |
| J. ChychrunD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27:11 |
| B. JennerC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:57 |
| C. HutsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:03 |
| P. DuboisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 |
| M. FehérváryD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 |
| D. StromeC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:02 |
| A. TuchR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| T. WilsonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17:49 |
| T. LiljegrenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:11 |
| V. DesharnaisD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:25 |
| A. ProtasL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 |
| J. KyrouR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:45 |
| M. RoyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 |
| R. LeonardR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 |
| A. OvechkinL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 |
| A. BeauvillierR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:37 |
| I. ProtasL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:55 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindgren | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 57:36 | L |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. GuentzelC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:18 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:07 |
| C. D'AstousD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:47 |
| C. GeekieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 09:10 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:46 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:35 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20:34 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:32 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:42 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15:52 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:27 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:57 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13:34 |
| E. LillebergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:30 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 07:34 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| WSH | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Shots on goal | 30 |
| 18/48 | Faceoffs | 30/48 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 25 | Penalty minutes | 13 |
| 24 | Hits | 30 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 20 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreWSH 3.1 – TBL 3.5
Win chanceTBL 56%
Total 6.5Over 51%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.