St. Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Blues1
Avalanche6FinalSOG STL 26 – COL 36Ball ArenaScoring
Final- 1st04:09Cale Makar (1)wrist shot · from Necas and MacKinnonSTL 0 – COL 1
- 13:12Martin Necas (1)snap shot · from MacKinnon and LehkonenSTL 0 – COL 2
- 2nd05:38Josh Manson (1)snap shot · from Roy and KellySTL 0 – COL 3
- 11:40Artturi Lehkonen (3)snap shot · UnassistedSTL 0 – COL 4
- 18:02Nicolas Roy (2)wrist shot · from Kelly and MansonSTL 0 – COL 5
- 18:25Martin Necas (2)backhand · from Landeskog and MacKinnonSTL 0 – COL 6
- 3rd02:34Dalibor Dvorsky (2)backhand · from LindsteinSTL 1 – COL 6
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 04 | 011 | 111 | 1 | 26 |
| COL | 215 | 47 | 014 | 6 | 36 |
Three stars
- ★
M. NecasCOL · C · 2 G, 1 A - ★★
N. MacKinnonCOL · C · 3 A - ★★★
A. LehkonenCOL · L · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 4.0 | 4 | 1.44 | 3 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 2.7 | 4 | 1.23 | 3 |
| Cale MakarCOL | 2.3 | 3 | 0.91 | 1 |
| Brock NelsonCOL | 2.2 | 1 | 0.86 | 0 |
| Robert ThomasSTL | 1.7 | 0 | 0.80 | 0 |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL | 2.1 | 2 | 0.73 | 2 |
| Dylan HollowaySTL | 2.5 | 2 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Jimmy SnuggerudSTL | 2.3 | 1 | 0.68 | 0 |
| Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 2.1 | 0 | 0.63 | 1 |
| Nazem KadriCOL | 2.1 | 4 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Jaden SchwartzCOL | 1.5 | 4 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Connor McMichaelSTL | 1.7 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Sam MalinskiCOL | 2.1 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Pavel BuchnevichSTL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 |
| T.J. HughesCOL | 1.5 | 2 | 0.48 | 0 |
| Parker KellyCOL | 1.3 | 1 | 0.47 | 2 |
Box score
FinalSt. Louis Blues
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DvorskyR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:17 |
| T. LindsteinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:26 |
| C. FowlerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23:24 |
| C. ParaykoD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20:45 |
| P. BrobergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:16 |
| A. JiricekD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:43 |
| B. CarloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:36 |
| R. ThomasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:30 |
| P. SuterC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 |
| P. BuchnevichL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 |
| D. HollowayL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:35 |
| C. McMichaelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 |
| M. McTavishC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| J. SnuggerudR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 |
| J. BerggrenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| J. NeighboursL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:43 |
| D. DubeC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 |
| Z. DeanC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:37 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Binnington | 36 | 30 | 6 | .833 | 60:00 | L |
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. NecasC | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 |
| N. MacKinnonC | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 |
| A. LehkonenL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:26 |
| J. MansonD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:36 |
| N. RoyC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:53 |
| P. KellyC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:31 |
| C. MakarD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 |
| G. LandeskogL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 |
| T. HughesR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:56 |
| D. ToewsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:55 |
| N. KadriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:27 |
| B. KulakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:48 |
| B. NelsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:11 |
| S. MalinskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:37 |
| F. SvechkovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| J. SchwartzL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:14 |
| B. BurnsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 |
| N. JuulsenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:55 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Blackwood | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| STL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 36 |
| 29/66 | Faceoffs | 37/66 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 28 | Hits | 16 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreSTL 2.7 – COL 3.4
Win chanceCOL 61%
Total 6.5Under 56%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.