Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Flyers1
Lightning4FinalSOG PHI 15 – TBL 36Benchmark International ArenaScoring
Final- 1st16:05Brayden Point (1)tip-in · from Carlson and KucherovPHI 0 – TBL 1
- 2nd00:17Pontus Holmberg (1)wrist shot · from Mikheyev and GirgensonsPHI 0 – TBL 2
- 07:22Tyson Foerster (1)wrist shot · from Seeler and CouturierPHI 1 – TBL 2
- 3rd17:00Ilya Mikheyev (1)wraparound · from HolmbergPHI 1 – TBL 3
- 19:53Brandon Hagel (1)wrist shot · from KucherovPHI 1 – TBL 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 03 | 18 | 04 | 1 | 15 |
| TBL | 110 | 111 | 215 | 4 | 36 |
Three stars
- ★
P. HolmbergTBL · R · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
I. MikheyevTBL · R · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
A. VasilevskiyTBL · G · .933 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.8 | 1 | 1.52 | 2 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.7 | 5 | 1.14 | 0 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 2.9 | 8 | 1.06 | 1 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.1 | 3 | 0.82 | 1 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 1.9 | 1 | 0.76 | 1 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.8 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 |
| Trevor ZegrasPHI | 1.8 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Travis KonecnyPHI | 1.8 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.3 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Christian DvorakPHI | 1.8 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Owen TippettPHI | 2.4 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.5 | 1 | 0.53 | 2 |
| Porter MartonePHI | 1.9 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Matvei MichkovPHI | 1.8 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Tyson FoersterPHI | 1.9 | 4 | 0.49 | 1 |
| Noah CatesPHI | 1.4 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 |
Box score
FinalPhiladelphia Flyers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. FoersterR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:55 |
| N. SeelerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:36 |
| S. CouturierC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| T. SanheimD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 25:04 |
| C. YorkD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:31 |
| T. KonecnyR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 |
| T. ZegrasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18:19 |
| J. DrysdaleD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:10 |
| D.JiricekD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:42 |
| M. MichkovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 |
| P. MartoneR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 |
| C. DvorakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:24 |
| O. TippettR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:58 |
| N. AcciariC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| D. BarkeyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 |
| S. BenoitD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:52 |
| N. CatesL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 |
| C. GrundstromR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:12 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vladar | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 57:24 | L |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. MikheyevR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 |
| P. HolmbergR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:05 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:59 |
| B. HagelL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:11 |
| B. PointC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:09 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:51 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:23 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22:15 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:20 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:03 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16:31 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:24 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:21 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10:56 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 08:49 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| PHI | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shots on goal | 36 |
| 34/63 | Faceoffs | 29/63 |
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 11 | Penalty minutes | 11 |
| 23 | Hits | 15 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scorePHI 2.7 – TBL 3.4
Win chanceTBL 62%
Total 5.5Over 54%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.