Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Predators4
Maple Leafs5Final/OTSOG NSH 25 – TOR 37Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st07:13Steven Stamkos (2)PPG · wrist shot · from Wood and JosiNSH 1 – TOR 0
- 09:08Nils Hoglander (2)backhand · from Wilsby and ForsbergNSH 2 – TOR 0
- 2nd03:03Nils Hoglander (3)backhand · from Forsberg and BourqueNSH 3 – TOR 0
- 04:56John Tavares (1)wrist shot · from McKenna and StolarzNSH 3 – TOR 1
- 06:58William Nylander (3)PPG · wrist shot · from Matthews and MarchenkoNSH 3 – TOR 2
- 13:30Steven Stamkos (3)wrist shot · from O'Reilly and SkjeiNSH 4 – TOR 2
- 14:31Gavin McKenna (1)wrist shot · from Matthews and RoslovicNSH 4 – TOR 3
- 3rd08:54Jack Roslovic (1)wrist shot · from Matthews and NylanderNSH 4 – TOR 4
- OT04:46Auston Matthews (2)wrist shot · from NylanderNSH 4 – TOR 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 211 | 27 | 06 | 01 | 4 | 25 |
| TOR | 08 | 313 | 112 | 14 | 5 | 37 |
Three stars
- ★
G. McKennaTOR · L · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
A. MatthewsTOR · C · 1 G, 3 A - ★★★
W. NylanderTOR · R · 1 G, 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.6 | 1 | 1.09 | 3 |
| Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 2.4 | 1 | 0.89 | 1 |
| Filip ForsbergNSH | 3.2 | 2 | 0.85 | 2 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.9 | 3 | 0.84 | 1 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.5 | 6 | 0.82 | 1 |
| Steven StamkosNSH | 2.9 | 3 | 0.81 | 2 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.6 | 4 | 0.81 | 4 |
| Roman JosiNSH | 2.7 | 1 | 0.73 | 1 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.6 | 2 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.9 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Mavrik BourqueNSH | 2.3 | 1 | 0.57 | 1 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 2.1 | 4 | 0.54 | 2 |
| Jonathan MarchessaultNSH | 2.3 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Alexander KerfootNSH | 1.6 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Morgan RiellyTOR | 1.7 | 2 | 0.46 | 0 |
| Matthew WoodNSH | 1.8 | 1 | 0.46 | 1 |
Box score
FinalNashville Predators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. StamkosC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:43 |
| N. HoglanderL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 |
| F. ForsbergL | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:00 |
| R. JosiD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26:33 |
| R. O'ReillyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:40 |
| B. SkjeiD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:53 |
| M. BourqueC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 |
| M. WoodR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 |
| A. WilsbyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| N. PerbixD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:49 |
| N. HagueD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:12 |
| A. KerfootC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| J. DruryC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:34 |
| A. EdstromC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14:11 |
| J. MarchessaultR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 |
| R. ColtonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 |
| W. TrudeauD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:38 |
| J. AhcanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 07:58 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Saros | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 64:35 | O |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25:09 |
| W. NylanderR | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 |
| J. RoslovicC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 |
| G. McKennaL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:45 |
| J. TavaresC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:46 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:35 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25:51 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:39 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18:38 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:20 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 09:53 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:31 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 64:46 | W |
Team stats
Final| NSH | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots on goal | 37 |
| 19/53 | Faceoffs | 34/53 |
| 1/1 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 2 |
| 22 | Hits | 20 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreNSH 3.1 – TOR 3.1
Win chanceTOR 50%
Total 5.5Over 57%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.