Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Wild2
Sabres3Final/OTSOG MIN 20 – BUF 28KeyBank CenterScoring
Final- 2nd13:53Danila Yurov (1)PPG · slap shot · from Spurgeon and ColemanMIN 1 – BUF 0
- 15:38Maxim Shabanov (1)snap shot · from Hughes and McCarronMIN 2 – BUF 0
- 3rd03:55Noah Ostlund (1)deflection · from Power and DahlinMIN 2 – BUF 1
- 09:38Tage Thompson (2)snap shot · from KrebsMIN 2 – BUF 2
- OT04:22Owen Power (1)wrist shot · from Kulich and ThompsonMIN 2 – BUF 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 04 | 28 | 05 | 03 | 2 | 20 |
| BUF | 04 | 08 | 211 | 15 | 3 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
O. PowerBUF · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
T. ThompsonBUF · C · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
N. OstlundBUF · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill KaprizovMIN | 3.0 | 3 | 0.94 | 0 |
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.3 | 9 | 0.94 | 2 |
| Quinn HughesMIN | 2.5 | 1 | 0.88 | 1 |
| Matt BoldyMIN | 2.9 | 7 | 0.84 | 0 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.4 | 3 | 0.79 | 1 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.5 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 1.9 | 2 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.6 | 0 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 2.5 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Ryan McLeodBUF | 1.3 | 1 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 2.0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.4 | 2 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Blake ColemanMIN | 2.5 | 1 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Ryan HartmanMIN | 2.0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Peyton KrebsBUF | 1.4 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Jiri KulichBUF | 1.7 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Wild
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. ShabanovR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:30 |
| D. YurovR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| Q. HughesD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29:30 |
| J. SpurgeonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 |
| B. ColemanL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
| M. McCarronC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15:16 |
| K. KaprizovL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:58 |
| M. BoldyL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23:24 |
| J. Eriksson EkC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:26 |
| O. MaattaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19:18 |
| J. BrodinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19:18 |
| Z. BogosianD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:12 |
| D. HuntD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:08 |
| R. HartmanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| B. BrinkR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:34 |
| M. FolignoL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
| Y. TreninC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:04 |
| N. FolignoL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 03:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallstedt | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 64:22 | O |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. PowerD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29:04 |
| T. ThompsonC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:23 |
| N. OstlundC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:39 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 |
| J.KulichC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:56 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:41 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:45 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:41 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:52 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:19 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:15 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:01 |
| J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:05 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:44 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 08:28 |
| J. DanforthR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:17 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 64:22 | W |
Team stats
Final| MIN | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 24/54 | Faceoffs | 30/54 |
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 4 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 26 | Hits | 12 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreMIN 3.0 – BUF 3.2
Win chanceBUF 53%
Total 6.5Under 55%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.