Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Wild2
Lightning3FinalSOG MIN 36 – TBL 35Benchmark International ArenaScoring
Final- 1st05:26Anthony Cirelli (1)tip-in · from Cernak and HagelMIN 0 – TBL 1
- 06:02John Carlson (1)wrist shot · from Kucherov and PointMIN 0 – TBL 2
- 2nd02:32Quinn Hughes (2)wrist shot · from Brink and SpurgeonMIN 1 – TBL 2
- 04:55John Carlson (2)PPG · slap shot · from Kucherov and GuentzelMIN 1 – TBL 3
- 14:01Blake Coleman (2)PPG · wrist shot · from Kaprizov and HughesMIN 2 – TBL 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 09 | 212 | 015 | 2 | 36 |
| TBL | 214 | 110 | 011 | 3 | 35 |
Three stars
- ★
J. CarlsonTBL · D · 2 G - ★★
D. HildebyTBL · G · .944 SV% - ★★★
J. WallstedtMIN · G · .914 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 3.0 | 1 | 1.52 | 2 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 3.0 | 1 | 1.11 | 1 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.3 | 3 | 1.05 | 1 |
| Kirill KaprizovMIN | 2.9 | 0 | 0.93 | 1 |
| Quinn HughesMIN | 2.3 | 4 | 0.87 | 2 |
| Matt BoldyMIN | 2.8 | 3 | 0.84 | 0 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.2 | 2 | 0.80 | 1 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.0 | 9 | 0.72 | 2 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.9 | 4 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 2.3 | 6 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Blake ColemanMIN | 2.3 | 6 | 0.54 | 1 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.4 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Ryan HartmanMIN | 1.8 | 0 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Danila YurovMIN | 1.2 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 |
| Bobby BrinkMIN | 1.4 | 1 | 0.42 | 1 |
Box score
FinalMinnesota Wild
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. HughesD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32:36 |
| B. ColemanL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 |
| J. SpurgeonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 24:54 |
| K. KaprizovL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:07 |
| B. BrinkR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:01 |
| J. BrodinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23:00 |
| M. BoldyL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:14 |
| J. Eriksson EkC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| Z. BogosianD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:29 |
| M. ShabanovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:36 |
| Y. TreninC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 |
| D. YurovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:23 |
| R. HartmanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 |
| N. SturmC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:56 |
| M. FolignoL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 |
| M. McCarronC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:50 |
| D. HuntD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 |
| D. SpacekD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 08:23 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallstedt | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 59:03 | L |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. CarlsonD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:48 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 |
| A. CirelliC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:25 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:55 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:12 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 21:02 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:16 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:04 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:21 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:04 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 08:23 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hildeby | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 59:37 | W |
Team stats
Final| MIN | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Shots on goal | 35 |
| 29/51 | Faceoffs | 22/51 |
| 1/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 24 | Hits | 12 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 10 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreMIN 2.9 – TBL 3.3
Win chanceTBL 57%
Total 5.5Over 57%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.