Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Avalanche7
Flames3FinalSOG COL 30 – CGY 29Scotiabank SaddledomeScoring
Final- 1st15:54Devon Toews (1)tip-in · from Makar and NelsonCOL 1 – CGY 0
- 17:30Adam Klapka (1)wrist shot · from CastagnaCOL 1 – CGY 1
- 2nd06:45Devon Toews (2)wrist shot · from Juulsen and KellyCOL 2 – CGY 1
- 09:16Cale Makar (2)wrist shot · from MacKinnon and KulakCOL 3 – CGY 1
- 11:39Nathan MacKinnon (3)slap shot · from L'HeureuxCOL 4 – CGY 1
- 3rd05:35Cale Makar (3)slap shot · from MacKinnon and KadriCOL 5 – CGY 1
- 06:34Jaden Schwartz (2)snap shot · from Hughes and KulakCOL 6 – CGY 1
- 07:17Mikael Backlund (1)tip-in · from StromeCOL 6 – CGY 2
- 08:28Kevin Bahl (1)wrist shot · from Farabee and SharangovichCOL 6 – CGY 3
- 09:41Jaden Schwartz (3)wrist shot · from Svechkov and BurnsCOL 7 – CGY 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 16 | 313 | 311 | 7 | 30 |
| CGY | 18 | 011 | 210 | 3 | 29 |
Three stars
- ★
C. MakarCOL · D · 2 G, 1 A - ★★
N. MacKinnonCOL · C · 1 G, 2 A - ★★★
D. ToewsCOL · D · 2 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 4.1 | 2 | 1.48 | 3 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 2.8 | 2 | 1.29 | 0 |
| Cale MakarCOL | 2.4 | 2 | 0.93 | 3 |
| Brock NelsonCOL | 2.3 | 1 | 0.84 | 1 |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL | 2.3 | 1 | 0.79 | 0 |
| Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 2.2 | 1 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Nazem KadriCOL | 2.4 | 2 | 0.62 | 1 |
| Jaden SchwartzCOL | 1.7 | 2 | 0.61 | 2 |
| Matt CoronatoCGY | 2.3 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Matvei GridinCGY | 1.8 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Morgan FrostCGY | 1.8 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Parker KellyCOL | 1.4 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 |
| T.J. HughesCOL | 1.8 | 6 | 0.51 | 1 |
| Mikael BacklundCGY | 2.1 | 8 | 0.49 | 1 |
| Joel FarabeeCGY | 1.7 | 2 | 0.48 | 1 |
| Devon ToewsCOL | 1.8 | 3 | 0.46 | 2 |
Box score
FinalColorado Avalanche
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. MakarD | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 |
| N. MacKinnonC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 |
| D. ToewsD | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 |
| J. SchwartzL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 |
| B. KulakD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:42 |
| B. BurnsD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:00 |
| N. KadriC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| N. JuulsenD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:35 |
| T. HughesR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| B. NelsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 |
| F. SvechkovC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:55 |
| P. KellyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:34 |
| Z. L'HeureuxL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:56 |
| J. MansonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20:27 |
| A. LehkonenL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:22 |
| M. NecasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| G. LandeskogL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:09 |
| N. RoyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wedgewood | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 60:00 | W |
Calgary Flames
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. BahlD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:59 |
| M. BacklundC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:41 |
| A. KlapkaR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 |
| J. FarabeeL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 |
| Y. SharangovichC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 |
| R. StromeC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:39 |
| J. CastagnaC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 09:09 |
| Z. ParekhD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 21:17 |
| S. NemecD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 |
| Y. KuznetsovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| J. MiddletonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:34 |
| Z. WhitecloudD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:12 |
| M. FrostC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:24 |
| M. CoronatoR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:24 |
| S. HonzekL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:53 |
| M. GridinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:48 |
| M. PospisilC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 |
| A. SunievL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:41 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cooley | 30 | 23 | 7 | .767 | 60:00 | L |
Team stats
Final| COL | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Shots on goal | 29 |
| 41/70 | Faceoffs | 29/70 |
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 9 | Penalty minutes | 11 |
| 18 | Hits | 23 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 23 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreCOL 3.6 – CGY 2.8
Win chanceCOL 62%
Total 6.5Under 52%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.