Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Maple Leafs3
Golden Knights4Final/SOSOG TOR 24 – VGK 43T-Mobile ArenaScoring
Final- 1st00:34Jack Roslovic (2)backhand · from Matthews and MarchenkoTOR 1 – VGK 0
- 03:20Easton Cowan (2)snap shot · from TanevTOR 2 – VGK 0
- 08:37Nick Paul (1)slap shot · from Raddysh and McKennaTOR 3 – VGK 0
- 17:36Mark Stone (3)slap shot · from Eichel and BarbashevTOR 3 – VGK 1
- 2nd01:12Brett Howden (1)deflection · from Marner and KarlssonTOR 3 – VGK 2
- 03:58Jack Eichel (3)wrist shot · UnassistedTOR 3 – VGK 3
- SO00:00Trevor Connellybackhand · UnassistedTOR 3 – VGK 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 39 | 08 | 04 | 03 | 00 | 3 | 24 |
| VGK | 17 | 221 | 011 | 04 | 10 | 4 | 43 |
Three stars
- ★
T. ConnellyVGK · L - ★★
J. EichelVGK · C · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
M. StoneVGK · R · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack EichelVGK | 3.2 | 6 | 1.21 | 2 |
| Mark StoneVGK | 2.3 | 5 | 1.09 | 1 |
| William NylanderTOR | 2.2 | 5 | 1.03 | 0 |
| Mitch MarnerVGK | 2.3 | 5 | 0.97 | 1 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.1 | 2 | 0.80 | 1 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.6 | 3 | 0.77 | 1 |
| Ivan BarbashevVGK | 1.8 | 4 | 0.75 | 1 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.2 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 |
| Tomas HertlVGK | 2.4 | 3 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.2 | 1 | 0.64 | 1 |
| Shea TheodoreVGK | 1.9 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 2.1 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 |
| William KarlssonVGK | 2.0 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Brett HowdenVGK | 1.7 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.6 | 4 | 0.51 | 1 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 1.9 | 3 | 0.51 | 1 |
Box score
FinalToronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. RoslovicC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 |
| N. PaulL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:05 |
| E. CowanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:00 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24:45 |
| C. TanevD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22:10 |
| A. MatthewsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23:32 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:57 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 |
| J. TavaresC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:22 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:07 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:02 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 06:09 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 65:00 | O |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. EichelC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26:38 |
| M. StoneR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23:57 |
| B. HowdenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:18 |
| M. MarnerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:10 |
| W. KarlssonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 |
| I. BarbashevL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 |
| N. HanifinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21:48 |
| S. TheodoreD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:49 |
| R. AnderssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:42 |
| B. McNabbD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 |
| P. WotherspoonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:00 |
| J. LauzonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:59 |
| T. ConnellyL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| T. HertlC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| B. BowmanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 |
| N. DowdC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 |
| M. GatcombC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 |
| R. LavoieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 08:14 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hill | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 64:40 | W |
Team stats
Final| TOR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots on goal | 43 |
| 37/62 | Faceoffs | 25/62 |
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 2 |
| 13 | Hits | 27 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTOR 2.6 – VGK 3.6
Win chanceVGK 65%
Total 6.5Under 54%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.