Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Mammoth4
Sabres1FinalSOG UTA 30 – BUF 24KeyBank CenterScoring
Final- 1st08:00Tage Thompson (3)PPG · wrist shot · from DahlinUTA 0 – BUF 1
- 10:12Kailer Yamamoto (1)wrist shot · from Hayton and SergachevUTA 1 – BUF 1
- 2nd15:23Nick Schmaltz (6)PPG · wrist shot · from Cooley and KellerUTA 2 – BUF 1
- 17:24Anders Lee (2)backhand · from Marino and YamamotoUTA 3 – BUF 1
- 3rd01:45John Marino (1)PPG · slap shot · from Hayton and LeeUTA 4 – BUF 1
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 112 | 28 | 110 | 4 | 30 |
| BUF | 17 | 04 | 013 | 1 | 24 |
Three stars
- ★
J. MarinoUTA · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
A. LeeUTA · L · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
K. YamamotoUTA · R · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton KellerUTA | 2.7 | 2 | 1.02 | 1 |
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.0 | 6 | 0.92 | 1 |
| Nick SchmaltzUTA | 2.6 | 4 | 0.90 | 1 |
| Dylan GuentherUTA | 2.9 | 5 | 0.88 | 0 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.2 | 4 | 0.81 | 1 |
| Logan CooleyUTA | 1.8 | 0 | 0.77 | 1 |
| Mikhail SergachevUTA | 1.9 | 3 | 0.69 | 1 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.4 | 2 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 1.9 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 |
| Vincent TrocheckUTA | 1.6 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.5 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Ryan McLeodBUF | 1.1 | 0 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.4 | 5 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 1.7 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Lawson CrouseUTA | 1.8 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Peyton KrebsBUF | 1.2 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
Box score
FinalUtah Mammoth
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. MarinoD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 |
| K. YamamotoR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| A. LeeL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 |
| B. HaytonC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12:30 |
| N. SchmaltzC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 |
| M. SergachevD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 25:23 |
| L. CooleyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20:07 |
| C. KellerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| M. WeegarD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:23 |
| N. SchmidtD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:37 |
| D. GuentherR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| V. TrocheckC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:15 |
| A. PeekeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15:19 |
| L. CrouseL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:57 |
| K. StenlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 |
| D. SimashevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:25 |
| J. McBainC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 |
| D. ButL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vejmelka | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 59:54 | W |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. ThompsonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:56 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 25:42 |
| O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25:06 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:54 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:08 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:33 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:07 |
| J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12:49 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:38 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:11 |
| J. DanforthR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 |
| S. CarrickC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 08:43 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 07:32 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 59:28 | L |
Team stats
Final| UTA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Shots on goal | 24 |
| 32/60 | Faceoffs | 28/60 |
| 2/5 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 23 | Penalty minutes | 15 |
| 33 | Hits | 17 |
| 23 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 1 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreUTA 3.2 – BUF 3.2
Win chanceBUF 50%
Total 6.5Under 51%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.