Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning5
Islanders3FinalSOG TBL 26 – NYI 23UBS ArenaScoring
Final- 1st05:45Jake Guentzel (2)wrist shot · UnassistedTBL 1 – NYI 0
- 15:42Brandon Hagel (2)wrist shot · from Hedman and CrozierTBL 2 – NYI 0
- 2nd06:27Tony DeAngelo (1)wrist shot · from PalatTBL 2 – NYI 1
- 07:54Jake Guentzel (3)PPG · wrist shot · from Kucherov and HagelTBL 3 – NYI 1
- 11:41Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1)snap shot · from Schaefer and DeAngeloTBL 3 – NYI 2
- 19:53Brayden Schenn (2)PPG · tip-in · from Horvat and MaccelliTBL 3 – NYI 3
- 3rd18:16Brandon Hagel (3)wrist shot · from Crozier and McDonaghTBL 4 – NYI 3
- 18:37Brandon Hagel (4)snap shot · from Cirelli and KucherovTBL 5 – NYI 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 210 | 18 | 28 | 5 | 26 |
| NYI | 04 | 310 | 09 | 3 | 23 |
Three stars
- ★
B. HagelTBL · L · 3 G, 1 A - ★★
J. GuentzelTBL · C · 2 G - ★★★
T. DeAngeloNYI · D · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.9 | 1 | 1.56 | 2 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.8 | 4 | 1.11 | 2 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.2 | 6 | 1.07 | 4 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.1 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 |
| Bo HorvatNYI | 2.9 | 3 | 0.79 | 1 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.0 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.9 | 0 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Matthew SchaeferNYI | 2.5 | 8 | 0.66 | 1 |
| Brayden SchennNYI | 1.6 | 2 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Simon HolmstromNYI | 1.3 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Kyle PalmieriNYI | 2.1 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Calum RitchieNYI | 1.5 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.3 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.5 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Matias MaccelliNYI | 1.3 | 0 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 1.2 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. HagelL | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21:32 |
| J. GuentzelC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:46 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:30 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:04 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:56 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:43 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:01 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:13 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:01 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:30 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 |
| S. SabourinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 09:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 60:00 | W |
New York Islanders
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. DeAngeloD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:33 |
| B. SchennC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:14 |
| J. PageauC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:41 |
| M. SchaeferD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27:01 |
| B. HorvatC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 |
| O. PalatL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:29 |
| M. MaccelliL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 |
| A. PelechD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 |
| L. StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19:38 |
| R. PulockD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 |
| K. PalmieriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| S. MayfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 |
| E. HeinemanL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:41 |
| C. RitchieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:37 |
| V. EklundR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:25 |
| S. HolmstromR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 |
| A. DuclairL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| C. CizikasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 59:49 | L |
Team stats
Final| TBL | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 23 |
| 25/51 | Faceoffs | 26/51 |
| 1/4 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 9 | Penalty minutes | 13 |
| 18 | Hits | 30 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 3.3 – NYI 2.9
Win chanceTBL 56%
Total 5.5Over 57%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.