Florida Panthers vs Buffalo Sabres
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Panthers3
Sabres5FinalSOG FLA 23 – BUF 32KeyBank CenterScoring
Final- 1st05:58Josh Doan (1)wrist shot · from KrebsFLA 0 – BUF 1
- 11:00Anton Lundell (1)wrist shot · from Ekblad and VilmanisFLA 1 – BUF 1
- 15:55Rasmus Dahlin (2)PPG · slap shot · from Quinn and ThompsonFLA 1 – BUF 2
- 2nd06:26Sam Reinhart (1)PPG · poke · from Jones and TkachukFLA 2 – BUF 2
- 11:25Ryan McLeod (1)wrist shot · from Zellweger and PowerFLA 2 – BUF 3
- 13:41Sam Reinhart (2)PPG · wrist shot · from Tkachuk and JonesFLA 3 – BUF 3
- 3rd07:15Noah Ostlund (2)PPG · wrist shot · from Benson and QuinnFLA 3 – BUF 4
- 13:20Tage Thompson (4)wrist shot · from Power and KrebsFLA 3 – BUF 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 17 | 27 | 09 | 3 | 23 |
| BUF | 211 | 113 | 28 | 5 | 32 |
Three stars
- ★
N. OstlundBUF · C · 1 G - ★★
R. McLeodBUF · C · 1 G - ★★★
J. QuinnBUF · R · 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.2 | 1 | 0.88 | 2 |
| Matthew TkachukFLA | 2.5 | 2 | 0.84 | 1 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.3 | 4 | 0.77 | 1 |
| Sam ReinhartFLA | 2.5 | 2 | 0.77 | 2 |
| Sam BennettFLA | 2.6 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 |
| Brady TkachukFLA | 3.0 | 3 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Carter VerhaegheFLA | 2.4 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.4 | 1 | 0.64 | 2 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 1.9 | 2 | 0.64 | 1 |
| Anton LundellFLA | 2.3 | 3 | 0.62 | 1 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.5 | 2 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Ryan McLeodBUF | 1.1 | 2 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Seth JonesFLA | 1.9 | 4 | 0.54 | 2 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.5 | 3 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 1.8 | 3 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Peyton KrebsBUF | 1.3 | 0 | 0.49 | 2 |
Box score
FinalFlorida Panthers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. ReinhartC | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 |
| S. JonesD | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:55 |
| A. LundellC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 |
| A. EkbladD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:25 |
| M. TkachukL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 |
| B. TkachukL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 |
| S. VilmanisL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:21 |
| G. ForslingD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:10 |
| N. MikkolaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 |
| C. VerhaegheC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 |
| E. LuostarinenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:37 |
| S. BennettC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 |
| S. LaffertyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:54 |
| D. KulikovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:32 |
| L. EllerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 |
| R. GudasD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:27 |
| G. HathawayR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:05 |
| B. ImamaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 08:56 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Markstrom | 11 | 9 | 2 | .818 | 20:00 | |
| A. Schmid | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 38:08 | L |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. ThompsonC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:58 |
| O. PowerD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:31 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:08 |
| N. OstlundC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 |
| J. DoanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:15 |
| R. McLeodC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:04 |
| R. DahlinD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:06 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:03 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:40 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26:59 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:38 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:03 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 |
| J.KulichC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:52 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:24 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 09:56 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 26:26 | |
| U. Luukkonen | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 33:34 | W |
Team stats
Final| FLA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Shots on goal | 32 |
| 30/57 | Faceoffs | 27/57 |
| 2/4 | Power play | 2/5 |
| 10 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 42 | Hits | 14 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreFLA 3.0 – BUF 3.0
Win chanceBUF 50%
Total 6.5Under 59%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.