Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning1
Rangers4FinalSOG TBL 26 – NYR 23Madison Square GardenScoring
Final- 1st01:02Alexis Lafrenière (6)wrist shot · from Kartye and FoxTBL 0 – NYR 1
- 12:47Alexis Lafrenière (7)wrist shot · from Kartye and MillerTBL 0 – NYR 2
- 17:26Zemgus Girgensons (1)wrist shot · from Holmberg and HedmanTBL 1 – NYR 2
- 2nd18:26Will Cuylle (3)tip-in · from Durzi and PetterssonTBL 1 – NYR 3
- 3rd17:16Mika Zibanejad (2)SHG · wrist shot · from Fox and PetterssonTBL 1 – NYR 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 19 | 09 | 08 | 1 | 26 |
| NYR | 28 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
Three stars
- ★
A. LafrenièreNYR · L · 2 G - ★★
T. KartyeNYR · L · 2 A - ★★★
D. GarandNYR · G · .962 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.8 | 2 | 1.48 | 0 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.3 | 1 | 1.09 | 0 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.9 | 1 | 1.07 | 0 |
| Mika ZibanejadNYR | 2.4 | 3 | 0.86 | 1 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.2 | 5 | 0.77 | 0 |
| Alexis LafrenièreNYR | 2.1 | 4 | 0.76 | 2 |
| Adam FoxNYR | 1.4 | 1 | 0.73 | 2 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.9 | 1 | 0.70 | 0 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 2.0 | 3 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Pavel DorofeyevNYR | 2.5 | 2 | 0.66 | 0 |
| J.T. MillerNYR | 1.8 | 1 | 0.65 | 1 |
| Gabe PerreaultNYR | 1.5 | 2 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.3 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.5 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 |
| Will CuylleNYR | 1.7 | 4 | 0.46 | 1 |
| Tye KartyeNYR | 1.2 | 1 | 0.45 | 2 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. GirgensonsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:42 |
| V. HedmanD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:15 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:57 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:56 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:45 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17:02 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:30 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:01 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:17 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 09:09 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 57:26 | L |
New York Rangers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. LafrenièreL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 |
| A. FoxD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 22:22 |
| M. PetterssonD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21:44 |
| T. KartyeL | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16:21 |
| M. ZibanejadC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23:01 |
| W. CuylleL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| S. DurziD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:10 |
| J. MillerC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 |
| V. GavrikovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:28 |
| G. PerreaultR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:56 |
| N. LabaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 |
| P. DorofeyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| B. SchneiderD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:49 |
| E. TolvanenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 |
| A. SmitsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 |
| O. BjorkstrandR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 07:35 |
| M. RempeC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 03:43 |
| C. BeaudoinC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 03:29 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Garand | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 59:45 | W |
Team stats
Final| TBL | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 23 |
| 21/54 | Faceoffs | 33/54 |
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 13 | Penalty minutes | 13 |
| 22 | Hits | 37 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 3.2 – NYR 2.9
Win chanceTBL 54%
Total 6Under 57%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.