Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Scoring
Final- 1st11:32
Artturi Lehkonen (4)backhand · from MacKinnon and MansonCOL 1 – DAL 0
- 19:06
Tyler Seguin (2)PPG · snap shot · from Robertson and HeiskanenCOL 1 – DAL 1
- 2nd03:05
Martin Necas (3)slap shot · from MacKinnon and RoyCOL 2 – DAL 1
- 16:14
Martin Necas (4)PPG · snap shot · from Landeskog and ToewsCOL 3 – DAL 1
- 3rd03:17
Roope Hintz (2)snap shot · from Seguin and HeiskanenCOL 3 – DAL 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 210 | 06 | 3 | 25 | |
| 113 | 010 | 13 | 2 | 26 |
Three stars
- ★
M. NecasCOL · C · 2 G - ★★
R. HintzDAL · C · 1 G - ★★★
M. BlackwoodCOL · G · .923 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 3.7 | 2 | 1.41 | 2 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 2.5 | 2 | 1.16 | 2 |
| Mikko RantanenDAL | 2.1 | 0 | 1.02 | 0 |
| Jason RobertsonDAL | 2.9 | 2 | 0.96 | 1 |
| Brock NelsonCOL | 1.9 | 5 | 0.75 | 0 |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL | 2.0 | 1 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Roope HintzDAL | 2.0 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Miro HeiskanenDAL | 1.6 | 1 | 0.64 | 2 |
| Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 1.9 | 1 | 0.59 | 1 |
| Nazem KadriCOL | 2.2 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Jaden SchwartzCOL | 1.5 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Parker KellyCOL | 1.2 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 |
| Jamie BennDAL | 1.2 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 |
| T.J. HughesCOL | 1.8 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 |
| Tyler SeguinDAL | 1.3 | 7 | 0.47 | 2 |
| Thomas HarleyDAL | 1.6 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 |
Box score
Final
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. NecasC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:24 |
| N. MacKinnonC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:01 |
| A. LehkonenL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:45 |
| D. ToewsD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25:11 |
| J. MansonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19:01 |
| G. LandeskogL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:29 |
| N. RoyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 09:50 |
| N. KadriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:47 |
| B. BurnsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:03 |
| B. NelsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19:39 |
| S. MalinskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:07 |
| B. KulakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:25 |
| T. HughesR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:05 |
| J. SchwartzL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:02 |
| P. KellyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:49 |
| N. JuulsenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:36 |
| F. SvechkovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11:24 |
| Z. L'HeureuxL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Blackwood | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 60:00 | W |
Dallas Stars
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. SeguinC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 |
| M. HeiskanenD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25:09 |
| R. HintzC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:30 |
| J. RobertsonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:18 |
| T. HarleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:53 |
| E. LindellD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:37 |
| M. RantanenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:37 |
| S. SteelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 |
| N. LundkvistD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:48 |
| L. BichselD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| O. BäckC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| J. BennL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 |
| J. HryckowianC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| A. HyryR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| T. MyersD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:21 |
| R. FaksaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 09:55 |
| C. BlackwellC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 08:25 |
| K. CapobiancoD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 02:59 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oettinger | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 58:08 | L |
Team stats
Final| COL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots on goal | 26 |
| 20/56 | Faceoffs | 36/56 |
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/1 |
| 24 | Penalty minutes | 18 |
| 18 | Hits | 26 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 21 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 4 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreCOL 3.2 – DAL 3.1
Win chanceCOL 52%
Total 6Under 54%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.