Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Maple Leafs4
Mammoth5FinalSOG TOR 26 – UTA 28Delta CenterScoring
Final- 1st14:55Daniil But (2)snap shot · from McBain and PeekeTOR 0 – UTA 1
- 2nd01:00Vincent Trocheck (2)wrist shot · from Cooley and GuentherTOR 0 – UTA 2
- 04:01Mikhail Sergachev (2)SHG · wrist shot · from Hayton and StenlundTOR 0 – UTA 3
- 05:16Auston Matthews (5)PPG · backhand · from TavaresTOR 1 – UTA 3
- 14:17Dylan Guenther (4)snap shot · from Sergachev and YamamotoTOR 1 – UTA 4
- 16:29Jack Roslovic (3)snap shot · from Marchenko and MatthewsTOR 2 – UTA 4
- 19:20MacKenzie Weegar (2)snap shot · from Keller and SchmaltzTOR 2 – UTA 5
- 3rd07:12John Tavares (2)PPG · snap shot · from StolarzTOR 3 – UTA 5
- 11:01Gavin McKenna (2)snap shot · from Nylander and RaddyshTOR 4 – UTA 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 08 | 27 | 211 | 4 | 26 |
| UTA | 16 | 410 | 012 | 5 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
M. SergachevUTA · D · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
V. TrocheckUTA · C · 1 G - ★★★
A. MatthewsTOR · C · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton KellerUTA | 3.0 | 0 | 1.16 | 1 |
| William NylanderTOR | 2.4 | 4 | 1.12 | 1 |
| Nick SchmaltzUTA | 2.9 | 1 | 1.03 | 1 |
| Dylan GuentherUTA | 3.2 | 2 | 0.98 | 2 |
| Logan CooleyUTA | 2.0 | 3 | 0.89 | 1 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.2 | 4 | 0.87 | 2 |
| Mikhail SergachevUTA | 2.2 | 2 | 0.80 | 2 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.6 | 2 | 0.79 | 1 |
| Vincent TrocheckUTA | 1.8 | 3 | 0.75 | 1 |
| John TavaresTOR | 2.2 | 3 | 0.74 | 2 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.3 | 3 | 0.68 | 1 |
| Lawson CrouseUTA | 2.0 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Anders LeeUTA | 2.3 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Kailer YamamotoUTA | 1.4 | 2 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 2.0 | 2 | 0.53 | 1 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.6 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
Box score
FinalToronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 |
| J. TavaresC | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 |
| J. RoslovicC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 |
| G. McKennaL | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24:39 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:21 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:40 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:50 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:09 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:00 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:01 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 |
| N. BlankenburgD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:21 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:20 |
| M. RifaiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 09:04 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 57:26 | L |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. SergachevD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:39 |
| D. GuentherR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:55 |
| M. WeegarD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 22:14 |
| V. TrocheckC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 |
| D. ButL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:00 |
| L. CooleyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 |
| N. SchmaltzC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| A. PeekeD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:29 |
| C. KellerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 |
| K. YamamotoR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 |
| K. StenlundC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 |
| B. HaytonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 |
| J. McBainC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 |
| J. MarinoD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:55 |
| N. SchmidtD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 |
| L. CrouseL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 |
| A. LeeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 |
| D. SimashevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:18 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vejmelka | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 59:58 | W |
Team stats
Final| TOR | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 28/54 | Faceoffs | 26/54 |
| 2/5 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 10 |
| 14 | Hits | 17 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 1 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTOR 2.9 – UTA 3.9
Win chanceUTA 65%
Total 6.5Over 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.