Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Penguins2
Avalanche5FinalSOG PIT 32 – COL 32Ball ArenaScoring
Final- 1st08:28Evgeni Malkin (4)wrist shot · from Koivunen and KarlssonPIT 1 – COL 0
- 08:57Bryan Rust (3)snap shot · from Crosby and GirardPIT 2 – COL 0
- 11:01Artturi Lehkonen (5)wrist shot · from MacKinnon and NecasPIT 2 – COL 1
- 2nd00:25Artturi Lehkonen (6)backhand · from MacKinnon and NecasPIT 2 – COL 2
- 04:24Gabriel Landeskog (3)wrist shot · from Nelson and KadriPIT 2 – COL 3
- 14:57T.J. Hughes (1)wrist shot · from MacKinnon and MakarPIT 2 – COL 4
- 3rd15:06Nathan MacKinnon (6)PPG · slap shot · from Makar and NecasPIT 2 – COL 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 214 | 011 | 07 | 2 | 32 |
| COL | 15 | 318 | 19 | 5 | 32 |
Three stars
- ★
N. MacKinnonCOL · C · 1 G, 3 A - ★★
A. LehkonenCOL · L · 2 G - ★★★
T. HughesCOL · R · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 3.9 | 9 | 1.52 | 4 |
| Martin NecasCOL | 2.6 | 1 | 1.27 | 3 |
| Cale MakarCOL | 2.2 | 2 | 0.91 | 2 |
| Evgeni MalkinPIT | 2.3 | 2 | 0.90 | 1 |
| Sidney CrosbyPIT | 2.2 | 2 | 0.89 | 1 |
| Brock NelsonCOL | 2.1 | 1 | 0.82 | 1 |
| Artturi LehkonenCOL | 2.1 | 3 | 0.79 | 2 |
| Erik KarlssonPIT | 1.9 | 2 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Bryan RustPIT | 2.1 | 2 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Rickard RakellPIT | 2.4 | 5 | 0.70 | 0 |
| Nazem KadriCOL | 2.4 | 4 | 0.68 | 1 |
| Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 2.1 | 1 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Tommy NovakPIT | 1.6 | 4 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Jaden SchwartzCOL | 1.5 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Ben KindelPIT | 2.0 | 2 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Parker KellyCOL | 1.2 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 |
Box score
FinalPittsburgh Penguins
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. RustR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:38 |
| E. MalkinC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 |
| E. KarlssonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:57 |
| S. GirardD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19:52 |
| S. CrosbyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 |
| V. KoivunenR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 |
| D. CarlileD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20:16 |
| K. KorczakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:32 |
| K. LetangD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:22 |
| R. RakellR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| S. StastneyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| T. NovakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15:16 |
| B. KindelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:57 |
| B. LizotteC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 |
| C. DewarC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 |
| A. KuzmenkoL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 |
| N. RobertsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:01 |
| E. SoderblomL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:55 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Silovs | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 57:26 | L |
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. MacKinnonC | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:59 |
| M. NecasC | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 |
| A. LehkonenL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 |
| C. MakarD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:19 |
| G. LandeskogL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 |
| T. HughesR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| N. KadriC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 |
| B. NelsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:27 |
| D. ToewsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:54 |
| B. KulakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:47 |
| J. MansonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:41 |
| F. SvechkovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:34 |
| S. MalinskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:23 |
| J. SchwartzL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:03 |
| B. BurnsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| P. KellyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| G. BrindleyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 08:39 |
| N. JuulsenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 07:33 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Blackwood | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| PIT | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots on goal | 32 |
| 23/57 | Faceoffs | 34/57 |
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 6 |
| 14 | Hits | 12 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scorePIT 3.1 – COL 3.6
Win chanceCOL 57%
Total 6.5Over 52%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.