New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Islanders4
Maple Leafs1FinalSOG NYI 20 – TOR 29Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st08:18Anthony Duclair (2)wrist shot · from PageauNYI 1 – TOR 0
- 2nd18:33Bo Horvat (5)wrist shot · from PalmieriNYI 2 – TOR 0
- 3rd03:54Colton Sissons (2)tip-in · from Stecher and CowanNYI 2 – TOR 1
- 14:08Simon Holmstrom (2)wrist shot · from Horvat and SchaeferNYI 3 – TOR 1
- 17:55Simon Holmstrom (3)wrist shot · UnassistedNYI 4 – TOR 1
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 111 | 16 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
| TOR | 010 | 06 | 113 | 1 | 29 |
Three stars
- ★
B. HorvatNYI · C · 1 G, 1 A - ★★
C. SissonsTOR · C · 1 G - ★★★
I. SorokinNYI · G · .966 SV%
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.6 | 1 | 1.16 | 0 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.4 | 1 | 0.95 | 0 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.7 | 5 | 0.87 | 0 |
| Bo HorvatNYI | 3.5 | 2 | 0.83 | 2 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.5 | 3 | 0.74 | 0 |
| Matthew SchaeferNYI | 3.1 | 5 | 0.72 | 1 |
| Matias MaccelliNYI | 1.7 | 0 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 2.2 | 5 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Brayden SchennNYI | 1.9 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Kyle PalmieriNYI | 2.3 | 3 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.7 | 2 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Gavin McKennaTOR | 1.6 | 4 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Simon HolmstromNYI | 1.5 | 2 | 0.51 | 2 |
| Calum RitchieNYI | 1.6 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 1.4 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 |
| Nick PaulTOR | 1.6 | 0 | 0.46 | 0 |
Box score
FinalNew York Islanders
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. HolmstromR | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 |
| B. HorvatC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24:21 |
| A. DuclairL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| M. SchaeferD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:21 |
| J. PageauC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19:31 |
| K. PalmieriC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:34 |
| L. StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 |
| R. PulockD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 |
| B. SchennC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 |
| A. PelechD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 |
| E. HeinemanL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 |
| M. KesselD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:18 |
| T. DeAngeloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 |
| C. CizikasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 |
| O. PalatL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 |
| V. EklundR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 |
| M. MaccelliL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 05:39 |
| C. RitchieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:28 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 60:00 | W |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. SissonsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:08 |
| T. StecherD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:21 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:41 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24:21 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:34 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:57 |
| A. MatthewsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19:56 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:39 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:50 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15:54 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 |
| N. BlankenburgD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 |
| B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 |
| Z. MacEwenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 09:43 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 59:18 | L |
Team stats
Final| NYI | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Shots on goal | 29 |
| 22/45 | Faceoffs | 23/45 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 29 | Hits | 18 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreNYI 3.2 – TOR 3.1
Win chanceNYI 51%
Total 6.5Under 55%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.