Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning6
Golden Knights2FinalSOG TBL 21 – VGK 34T-Mobile ArenaScoring
Final- 1st04:11Brandon Hagel (7)PPG · tip-in · from D'Astous and KucherovTBL 1 – VGK 0
- 13:16Ivan Barbashev (1)snap shot · from MarnerTBL 1 – VGK 1
- 14:04John Carlson (3)wrist shot · UnassistedTBL 2 – VGK 1
- 18:30Mark Stone (8)SHG · snap shot · from BowmanTBL 2 – VGK 2
- 2nd06:44Anthony Cirelli (2)wrist shot · from KucherovTBL 3 – VGK 2
- 10:09Anthony Cirelli (3)snap shot · UnassistedTBL 4 – VGK 2
- 17:56Victor Hedman (2)wrist shot · UnassistedTBL 5 – VGK 2
- 3rd05:16Nikita Kucherov (4)snap shot · UnassistedTBL 6 – VGK 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 27 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 21 |
| VGK | 211 | 015 | 08 | 2 | 34 |
Three stars
- ★
A. VasilevskiyTBL · G · .941 SV% - ★★
N. KucherovTBL · R · 1 G, 2 A - ★★★
A. CirelliTBL · C · 2 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.7 | 2 | 1.36 | 3 |
| Jack EichelVGK | 2.9 | 0 | 1.17 | 0 |
| Mark StoneVGK | 1.9 | 2 | 1.07 | 1 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.0 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 |
| Mitch MarnerVGK | 2.0 | 5 | 0.96 | 1 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.4 | 0 | 0.94 | 0 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 1.9 | 1 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Ivan BarbashevVGK | 1.5 | 2 | 0.69 | 1 |
| Tomas HertlVGK | 2.1 | 5 | 0.66 | 0 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.63 | 2 |
| William KarlssonVGK | 1.9 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 1.7 | 4 | 0.58 | 1 |
| Trevor ConnellyVGK | 1.6 | 1 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Brett HowdenVGK | 1.4 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Shea TheodoreVGK | 1.6 | 3 | 0.48 | 0 |
| Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 1.6 | 1 | 0.45 | 0 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. KucherovR | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
| A. CirelliC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 |
| B. HagelL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 |
| J. CarlsonD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:46 |
| V. HedmanD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:52 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:52 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:30 |
| J. GuentzelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:16 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:35 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:21 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 |
| E. LillebergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 |
| C. GeekieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:33 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:40 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:58 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 59:57 | W |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. StoneR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:29 |
| I. BarbashevL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| M. MarnerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:27 |
| B. BowmanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 |
| S. TheodoreD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:36 |
| J. EichelC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:35 |
| R. AnderssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:25 |
| N. HanifinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:16 |
| J. LauzonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:52 |
| B. McNabbD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:46 |
| T. HertlC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 |
| T. ConnellyL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:17 |
| W. KarlssonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 |
| D. CoghlanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15:43 |
| B. HowdenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 |
| M. GatcombC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| N. DowdC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| R. LavoieC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hart | 21 | 15 | 6 | .714 | 59:46 | L |
Team stats
Final| TBL | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Shots on goal | 34 |
| 33/58 | Faceoffs | 25/58 |
| 1/3 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 6 |
| 13 | Hits | 24 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 2.8 – VGK 3.2
Win chanceVGK 56%
Total 6.5Under 58%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.