Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Flyers3
Sabres1FinalSOG PHI 27 – BUF 28KeyBank CenterScoring
Final- 1st14:49Cole Knuble (1)backhand · from Bonk and BarkeyPHI 1 – BUF 0
- 19:17Trevor Zegras (3)PPG · batted · from Michkov and DrysdalePHI 2 – BUF 0
- 2nd19:25Jason Zucker (1)PPG · deflection · from Quinn and OstlundPHI 2 – BUF 1
- 3rd03:03Cole Knuble (2)wrist shot · from BonkPHI 3 – BUF 1
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 29 | 010 | 18 | 3 | 27 |
| BUF | 016 | 17 | 05 | 1 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
C. KnublePHI · R · 2 G - ★★
D. VladarPHI · G · .964 SV% - ★★★
J. ZuckerBUF · L · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.3 | 3 | 1.01 | 0 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.6 | 4 | 0.84 | 1 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 2.2 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.3 | 4 | 0.82 | 0 |
| Jason ZuckerBUF | 1.9 | 3 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.7 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Trevor ZegrasPHI | 2.1 | 4 | 0.65 | 1 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.5 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 1.9 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 1.4 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Ryan McLeodBUF | 1.1 | 1 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Owen PowerBUF | 1.6 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Peyton KrebsBUF | 1.2 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Matvei MichkovPHI | 1.8 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Christian DvorakPHI | 1.7 | 2 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Jiri KulichBUF | 1.4 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 |
Box score
FinalPhiladelphia Flyers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. KnubleR | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 |
| O. BonkD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:34 |
| T. ZegrasC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 |
| J. DrysdaleD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:37 |
| M. MichkovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:02 |
| D. BarkeyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 |
| T. SanheimD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:20 |
| C. DvorakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 |
| N. SeelerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17:59 |
| S. CouturierC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 |
| T. FoersterR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:47 |
| P. MartoneR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 |
| A. BumpL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 |
| N. AcciariC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:04 |
| N. CatesL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 |
| S. BenoitD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:37 |
| H. McDonaldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 |
| J. GaucherC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 08:55 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vladar | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 60:00 | W |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. ZuckerL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:40 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26:27 |
| O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26:12 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22:51 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:21 |
| T. ThompsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:43 |
| J.KulichC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:42 |
| J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:32 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:06 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:30 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:07 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 09:07 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:49 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Luukkonen | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 57:26 | L |
Team stats
Final| PHI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 21/48 | Faceoffs | 27/48 |
| 1/5 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 11 | Penalty minutes | 25 |
| 19 | Hits | 14 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scorePHI 2.5 – BUF 3.4
Win chanceBUF 64%
Total 6Under 60%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.