New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Rangers4
Maple Leafs5FinalSOG NYR 25 – TOR 35Scotiabank ArenaScoring
Final- 1st01:36Easton Cowan (5)wrist shot · from McCabe and RoslovicNYR 0 – TOR 1
- 05:39Mika Zibanejad (3)tip-in · from Gavrikov and FoxNYR 1 – TOR 1
- 10:01Teddy Blueger (1)tip-in · from Duhaime and MacEwenNYR 1 – TOR 2
- 2nd02:37Oliver Bjorkstrand (5)wrist shot · from Dowling and FoxNYR 2 – TOR 2
- 06:30Tye Kartye (3)wrist shot · from Fox and DorofeyevNYR 3 – TOR 2
- 08:00Brandon Duhaime (1)wrist shot · from MacEwen and BluegerNYR 3 – TOR 3
- 19:09Kirill Marchenko (6)PPG · poke · from McKenna and NylanderNYR 3 – TOR 4
- 3rd14:25Alexis Lafrenière (8)wrist shot · from Fox and ZibanejadNYR 4 – TOR 4
- 19:32Troy Stecher (1)wrist shot · from Rielly and DuhaimeNYR 4 – TOR 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
| TOR | 28 | 216 | 111 | 5 | 35 |
Three stars
- ★
T. StecherTOR · D · 1 G - ★★
A. FoxNYR · D · 4 A - ★★★
B. DuhaimeTOR · L · 1 G, 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderTOR | 2.6 | 1 | 1.13 | 1 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.4 | 4 | 0.98 | 0 |
| Mika ZibanejadNYR | 2.8 | 3 | 0.93 | 2 |
| Alexis LafrenièreNYR | 2.4 | 1 | 0.84 | 1 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.7 | 4 | 0.82 | 1 |
| Adam FoxNYR | 1.6 | 0 | 0.79 | 4 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.7 | 2 | 0.76 | 0 |
| J.T. MillerNYR | 2.1 | 1 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Pavel DorofeyevNYR | 3.0 | 2 | 0.72 | 1 |
| Gabe PerreaultNYR | 2.0 | 1 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 2.2 | 3 | 0.59 | 1 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.6 | 4 | 0.54 | 1 |
| Tye KartyeNYR | 1.5 | 2 | 0.54 | 1 |
| Will CuylleNYR | 2.1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Gavin McKennaTOR | 1.7 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 |
| Nick PaulTOR | 1.5 | 1 | 0.44 | 0 |
Box score
FinalNew York Rangers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. FoxD | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:59 |
| M. ZibanejadC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:36 |
| A. LafrenièreL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 |
| T. KartyeL | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:26 |
| O. BjorkstrandR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:23 |
| V. GavrikovD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25:02 |
| P. DorofeyevR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| J. DowlingC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 06:56 |
| M. PetterssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| G. PerreaultR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 |
| S. DurziD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:01 |
| B. SchneiderD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17:13 |
| J. MillerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 |
| W. CuylleL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:08 |
| N. LabaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| A. SmitsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| E. TolvanenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 |
| T. RaddyshR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:32 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Garand | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 59:32 | L |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. DuhaimeL | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 |
| T. BluegerC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:18 |
| Z. MacEwenR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 07:06 |
| T. StecherD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:17 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:23 |
| E. CowanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 21:03 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:58 |
| W. NylanderR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 |
| J. RoslovicC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:58 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:17 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 |
| A. MatthewsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:27 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:34 |
| N. BlankenburgD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 |
| V. LettieriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:08 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bobrovsky | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 59:28 | W |
Team stats
Final| NYR | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots on goal | 35 |
| 36/71 | Faceoffs | 35/71 |
| 0/1 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 4 | Penalty minutes | 2 |
| 34 | Hits | 19 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 23 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreNYR 3.3 – TOR 3.0
Win chanceNYR 54%
Total 6.5Under 54%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.