Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Sabres3
Capitals4Final/OTSOG BUF 21 – WSH 34Capital One ArenaScoring
Final- 1st06:27Jack Quinn (6)wrist shot · from Zellweger and BensonBUF 1 – WSH 0
- 10:36Josh Doan (2)snap shot · from McLeodBUF 2 – WSH 0
- 16:10Alex Tuch (6)backhand · from KyrouBUF 2 – WSH 1
- 2nd02:59Dylan Strome (2)backhand · from Kyrou and ChychrunBUF 2 – WSH 2
- 17:24Dylan Strome (3)snap shot · from Sourdif and FehérváryBUF 2 – WSH 3
- 3rd02:20Noah Ostlund (3)wrist shot · from Power and DahlinBUF 3 – WSH 3
- OT03:42Alex Tuch (7)snap shot · from Strome and ChychrunBUF 3 – WSH 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 26 | 08 | 16 | 01 | 3 | 21 |
| WSH | 18 | 215 | 08 | 13 | 4 | 34 |
Three stars
- ★
A. TuchWSH · R · 2 G - ★★
D. StromeWSH · C · 2 G, 1 A - ★★★
J. KyrouWSH · R · 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.5 | 0 | 0.98 | 0 |
| Alex TuchWSH | 2.5 | 3 | 0.84 | 2 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.8 | 3 | 0.83 | 1 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.4 | 3 | 0.80 | 1 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 2.2 | 2 | 0.78 | 1 |
| Tom WilsonWSH | 2.1 | 3 | 0.78 | 0 |
| Jakob ChychrunWSH | 2.7 | 4 | 0.72 | 2 |
| Dylan StromeWSH | 1.8 | 5 | 0.70 | 3 |
| Jason ZuckerBUF | 2.0 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.8 | 1 | 0.68 | 1 |
| Ryan LeonardWSH | 2.0 | 3 | 0.65 | 0 |
| Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 1.5 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Alex OvechkinWSH | 2.2 | 1 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Boone JennerWSH | 2.0 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.5 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Jordan KyrouWSH | 1.9 | 3 | 0.58 | 2 |
Box score
FinalBuffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. QuinnR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| N. OstlundC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:25 |
| J. DoanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 |
| O. PowerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30:09 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27:20 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:06 |
| Z. BensonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 25:27 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:06 |
| T. ThompsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| J. ZuckerL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 |
| D. GilbertD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 08:12 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 07:37 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Luukkonen | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 63:42 | O |
Washington Capitals
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. StromeC | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:59 |
| A. TuchR | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22:32 |
| J. ChychrunD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 25:01 |
| J. KyrouR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| M. FehérváryD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23:19 |
| J. SourdifC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| M. RoyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24:04 |
| C. HutsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22:32 |
| T. WilsonR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 |
| P. DuboisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:08 |
| A. ProtasL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| T. LiljegrenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15:56 |
| R. LeonardR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| B. JennerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| A. OvechkinL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 |
| I. ProtasL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 09:25 |
| A. BeauvillierR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 07:41 |
| D. McIlrathD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 07:14 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lindgren | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 63:42 | W |
Team stats
Final| BUF | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Shots on goal | 34 |
| 30/53 | Faceoffs | 23/53 |
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 15 | Hits | 26 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 24 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 5 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreBUF 3.3 – WSH 3.4
Win chanceWSH 51%
Total 6.5Over 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.