Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Maple Leafs7
Oilers2FinalSOG TOR 31 – EDM 32Rogers PlaceScoring
Final- 1st14:16Jack Roslovic (5)UnassistedTOR 1 – EDM 0
- 2nd05:29Auston Matthews (9)wrist shot · from Cowan and RoslovicTOR 2 – EDM 0
- 06:23Troy Stecher (2)snap shot · from Marchenko and RiellyTOR 3 – EDM 0
- 19:04Leon Draisaitl (11)wrist shot · from McDavid and BouchardTOR 3 – EDM 1
- 3rd05:59William Nylander (7)PPG · slap shot · from Raddysh and MarchenkoTOR 4 – EDM 1
- 13:39Zack MacEwen (1)batted · from DuhaimeTOR 5 – EDM 1
- 16:35Leon Draisaitl (12)PPG · snap shot · from McDavid and BouchardTOR 5 – EDM 2
- 17:56William Nylander (8)wrist shot · from McCabeTOR 6 – EDM 2
- 19:29Vinni Lettieri (1)wrist shot · from McKennaTOR 7 – EDM 2
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 18 | 214 | 49 | 7 | 31 |
| EDM | 013 | 19 | 110 | 2 | 32 |
Three stars
- ★
A. StolarzTOR · G · .938 SV% - ★★
J. RoslovicTOR · C · 1 G, 1 A - ★★★
K. MarchenkoTOR · R · 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavidEDM | 3.9 | 3 | 1.98 | 2 |
| Leon DraisaitlEDM | 3.3 | 7 | 1.59 | 2 |
| Evan BouchardEDM | 3.0 | 3 | 1.31 | 2 |
| William NylanderTOR | 2.5 | 3 | 1.15 | 2 |
| Auston MatthewsTOR | 3.2 | 2 | 0.96 | 1 |
| Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 2.2 | 1 | 0.85 | 0 |
| Kirill MarchenkoTOR | 2.6 | 1 | 0.82 | 2 |
| Zach HymanEDM | 2.7 | 1 | 0.81 | 0 |
| Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 2.5 | 1 | 0.78 | 0 |
| Darren RaddyshTOR | 2.6 | 0 | 0.76 | 1 |
| Jack RoslovicTOR | 2.1 | 1 | 0.60 | 2 |
| Kasperi KapanenEDM | 2.1 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Easton CowanTOR | 1.6 | 1 | 0.55 | 1 |
| Ryan SheaEDM | 1.2 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Alex FormentonEDM | 1.6 | 0 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Gavin McKennaTOR | 1.5 | 1 | 0.49 | 1 |
Box score
FinalToronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. NylanderR | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 |
| J. RoslovicC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:37 |
| K. MarchenkoR | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:47 |
| T. StecherD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24:21 |
| A. MatthewsC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 |
| V. LettieriC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10:57 |
| Z. MacEwenR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 09:39 |
| J. McCabeD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:40 |
| D. RaddyshD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:39 |
| M. RiellyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 |
| B. DuhaimeL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 |
| G. McKennaL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:29 |
| O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:09 |
| N. PaulL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:59 |
| C. SissonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 |
| T. BluegerC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:36 |
| D. MermisD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stolarz | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 60:00 | W |
Edmonton Oilers
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. DraisaitlC | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:59 |
| E. BouchardD | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 26:11 |
| C. McDavidC | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:27 |
| R. SheaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:33 |
| R. Nugent-HopkinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 |
| Z. HymanL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 |
| C. MurphyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17:53 |
| S. MukhamadullinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17:28 |
| V. PodkolzinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:39 |
| K. KapanenR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 |
| T. EmbersonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:39 |
| J. WalmanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 |
| M. JosephR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:52 |
| O. MichaelsR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 |
| A. FormentonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 |
| C. DachC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 |
| F. HallanderC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 08:30 |
| M. JonesL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 08:08 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jarry | 30 | 25 | 6 | .833 | 59:45 | L |
Team stats
Final| TOR | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots on goal | 32 |
| 25/50 | Faceoffs | 25/50 |
| 1/1 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 15 | Penalty minutes | 11 |
| 23 | Hits | 42 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTOR 3.0 – EDM 3.6
Win chanceEDM 59%
Total 6.5Over 51%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.