Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning4
Mammoth5Final/OTSOG TBL 32 – UTA 28Delta CenterScoring
Final- 1st05:10Jake Guentzel (7)UnassistedTBL 1 – UTA 0
- 07:02Kailer Yamamoto (3)wrist shot · UnassistedTBL 1 – UTA 1
- 10:06Pontus Holmberg (3)snap shot · from Cernak and McDonaghTBL 2 – UTA 1
- 12:42Brayden Point (2)PPG · backhand · from Kucherov and D'AstousTBL 3 – UTA 1
- 17:39Dylan Guenther (5)PPG · slap shot · from Sergachev and KellerTBL 3 – UTA 2
- 2nd05:32Conor Geekie (2)wrist shot · from SabourinTBL 4 – UTA 2
- 14:39Anders Lee (3)tip-in · from Weegar and TrocheckTBL 4 – UTA 3
- 17:02Dmitri Simashev (1)snap shot · from Peeke and TrocheckTBL 4 – UTA 4
- OT01:44Dmitri Simashev (2)wrist shot · from Hayton and VejmelkaTBL 4 – UTA 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 311 | 111 | 09 | 01 | 4 | 32 |
| UTA | 29 | 28 | 09 | 12 | 5 | 28 |
Three stars
- ★
D. SimashevUTA · D · 2 G - ★★
K. YamamotoUTA · R · 1 G - ★★★
V. TrocheckUTA · C · 2 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 2.7 | 3 | 1.40 | 1 |
| Clayton KellerUTA | 2.3 | 1 | 1.08 | 1 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.0 | 7 | 1.02 | 0 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.5 | 2 | 0.96 | 1 |
| Nick SchmaltzUTA | 2.2 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 |
| Dylan GuentherUTA | 2.6 | 3 | 0.91 | 1 |
| Logan CooleyUTA | 1.7 | 0 | 0.90 | 0 |
| Mikhail SergachevUTA | 1.9 | 3 | 0.82 | 1 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.0 | 2 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Vincent TrocheckUTA | 1.4 | 2 | 0.66 | 2 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.6 | 2 | 0.62 | 0 |
| Kailer YamamotoUTA | 1.4 | 4 | 0.57 | 1 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 1.7 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Lawson CrouseUTA | 1.5 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Anders LeeUTA | 1.8 | 4 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Barrett HaytonUTA | 1.6 | 3 | 0.49 | 1 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. GuentzelC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 |
| B. PointC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 |
| P. HolmbergR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:11 |
| C. GeekieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:09 |
| E. CernakD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:58 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20:06 |
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:02 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:30 |
| S. SabourinR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 09:26 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:51 |
| J. CarlsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:41 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:01 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:25 |
| E. LillebergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| Z. GirgensonsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:06 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 08:51 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hildeby | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 61:44 | O |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. SimashevD | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| V. TrocheckC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:02 |
| D. GuentherR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 |
| K. YamamotoR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:31 |
| A. LeeL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| M. SergachevD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:01 |
| M. WeegarD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25:20 |
| A. PeekeD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:38 |
| C. KellerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:07 |
| B. HaytonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:54 |
| L. CooleyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:27 |
| N. SchmidtD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| N. SchmaltzC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| L. CrouseL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| K. StenlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:18 |
| N. DeSimoneD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 |
| J. McBainC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:06 |
| D. ButL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 06:54 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vejmelka | 32 | 29 | 4 | .906 | 61:44 | W |
Team stats
Final| TBL | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots on goal | 28 |
| 29/74 | Faceoffs | 45/74 |
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 8 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 23 | Hits | 26 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 3 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 2.9 – UTA 3.6
Win chanceUTA 61%
Total 6.5Over 50%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.