Ottawa Senators vs Vegas Golden Knights
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Senators1
Golden Knights4FinalSOG OTT 26 – VGK 29T-Mobile ArenaScoring
Final- 2nd19:49Braeden Bowman (3)PPG · wrist shot · from Barbashev and TheodoreOTT 0 – VGK 1
- 3rd00:34Shane Pinto (3)PPG · snap shot · from BathersonOTT 1 – VGK 1
- 08:01Raphael Lavoie (1)wrist shot · from Dowd and HeinolaOTT 1 – VGK 2
- 18:00William Karlsson (3)wrist shot · from Connelly and MarnerOTT 1 – VGK 3
- 19:53Jack Eichel (7)backhand · from StoneOTT 1 – VGK 4
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 011 | 07 | 18 | 1 | 26 |
| VGK | 04 | 115 | 310 | 4 | 29 |
Three stars
- ★
A. HillVGK · G · .962 SV% - ★★
R. LavoieVGK · C · 1 G - ★★★
B. BowmanVGK · R · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack EichelVGK | 2.7 | 1 | 1.13 | 1 |
| Mark StoneVGK | 1.8 | 3 | 1.03 | 1 |
| Tim StützleOTT | 2.2 | 1 | 0.99 | 0 |
| Mitch MarnerVGK | 1.9 | 2 | 0.95 | 1 |
| Drake BathersonOTT | 2.0 | 1 | 0.79 | 1 |
| Ivan BarbashevVGK | 1.5 | 1 | 0.73 | 1 |
| Tomas HertlVGK | 2.0 | 2 | 0.64 | 0 |
| Dylan CozensOTT | 2.2 | 1 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Shane PintoOTT | 2.0 | 4 | 0.60 | 1 |
| Jake SandersonOTT | 1.6 | 4 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Trevor ConnellyVGK | 1.6 | 2 | 0.59 | 1 |
| Claude GirouxOTT | 1.6 | 1 | 0.58 | 0 |
| William KarlssonVGK | 1.7 | 1 | 0.52 | 1 |
| Braeden BowmanVGK | 1.3 | 3 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Brett HowdenVGK | 1.3 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Shea TheodoreVGK | 1.6 | 1 | 0.46 | 1 |
Box score
FinalOttawa Senators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. PintoC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:06 |
| D. BathersonR | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:25 |
| J. SandersonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:38 |
| T. StützleC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:47 |
| T. KlevenD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:25 |
| J. SpenceD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| A. ZubD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 |
| C. GirouxR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 |
| D. CozensC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:30 |
| R. GreigC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:52 |
| F. ZetterlundL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| C. YakemchukD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| M. AmadioR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:01 |
| S. HallidayC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 |
| N. MatinpaloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:43 |
| W. FoegeleL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 |
| A. BurakovskyL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:24 |
| N. CousinsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 07:10 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johansson | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 58:07 | L |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. EichelC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| W. KarlssonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:07 |
| B. BowmanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 |
| R. LavoieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:20 |
| M. MarnerR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:40 |
| S. TheodoreD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 |
| M. StoneR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:08 |
| I. BarbashevL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18:40 |
| T. ConnellyL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 |
| V. HeinolaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:31 |
| N. DowdC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 09:06 |
| N. HanifinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:18 |
| B. McNabbD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21:05 |
| R. AnderssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18:32 |
| J. LauzonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:40 |
| B. HowdenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:09 |
| T. HertlC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 |
| M. GatcombC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 09:24 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hill | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 60:00 | W |
Team stats
Final| OTT | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 29 |
| 28/53 | Faceoffs | 25/53 |
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 8 |
| 24 | Hits | 14 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 24 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 1 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreOTT 2.7 – VGK 3.2
Win chanceVGK 59%
Total 6.5Under 60%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.