Buffalo Sabres vs San Jose Sharks
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Scoring
Final- 2nd00:50
Olen Zellweger (3)snap shot · from Helenius and PowerBUF 1 – SJS 0
- 3rd19:05
Zach Benson (1)wrist shot · from Thompson and PowerBUF 2 – SJS 0
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 017 | 114 | 110 | 2 | 41 | |
| 012 | 04 | 07 | 0 | 23 |
Three stars
- ★
C. EllisBUF · G · 1.000 SV% - ★★
Y. AskarovSJS · G · .975 SV% - ★★★
O. ZellwegerBUF · D · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin CelebriniSJS | 3.6 | 4 | 1.28 | 0 |
| Tage ThompsonBUF | 3.5 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 |
| Jack QuinnBUF | 2.9 | 3 | 0.86 | 0 |
| Rasmus DahlinBUF | 2.6 | 2 | 0.85 | 0 |
| Zach BensonBUF | 2.3 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 |
| Will SmithSJS | 2.6 | 2 | 0.78 | 0 |
| Noah OstlundBUF | 1.9 | 1 | 0.72 | 0 |
| Jason ZuckerBUF | 2.0 | 6 | 0.70 | 0 |
| Josh NorrisBUF | 1.5 | 2 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Ivar StenbergSJS | 1.7 | 0 | 0.61 | 0 |
| Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 1.5 | 3 | 0.60 | 0 |
| Josh DoanBUF | 2.0 | 1 | 0.59 | 0 |
| Owen PowerBUF | 1.9 | 1 | 0.58 | 2 |
| Ryan McLeodBUF | 1.2 | 3 | 0.57 | 0 |
| Mason MarchmentSJS | 1.8 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Tyler ToffoliSJS | 1.9 | 1 | 0.52 | 0 |
Box score
Final
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. PowerD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24:49 |
| O. ZellwegerD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:01 |
| Z. BensonL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 |
| T. ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 |
| K. HeleniusC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:44 |
| R. DahlinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26:19 |
| M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 24:05 |
| J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 |
| N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 |
| J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:02 |
| J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13:19 |
| R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| J. ZuckerL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 |
| T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 |
| Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:37 |
| P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:04 |
| L. CrevierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 09:11 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ellis | 23 | 23 | 0 | 1.000 | 59:58 | W |
San Jose Sharks
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. CelebriniC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:59 |
| J. TroubaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24:39 |
| D. NurseD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23:54 |
| I. StenbergL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 |
| D. OrlovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 |
| S. DickinsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:58 |
| M. KesselringD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:25 |
| W. SmithC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| K. SherwoodL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| C. GrafR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| M. MarchmentL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15:37 |
| L. CagnoniD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| T. DellandreaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 |
| T. ToffoliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 |
| M. MisaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:17 |
| Z. OstapchukC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:40 |
| B. GoodrowC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 |
| A. GaudetteR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:21 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Askarov | 40 | 39 | 1 | .975 | 59:21 | L |
Team stats
Final| BUF | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Shots on goal | 23 |
| 26/58 | Faceoffs | 32/58 |
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 6 |
| 16 | Hits | 35 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 6 | Giveaways | 21 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 8 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreBUF 3.5 – SJS 2.9
Win chanceBUF 60%
Total 6.5Under 52%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.