New York Islanders vs Minnesota Wild
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Islanders4
Wild3Final/OTSOG NYI 26 – MIN 26Grand Casino ArenaScoring
Final- 1st00:27Joel Eriksson Ek (5)wrist shot · from Kaprizov and HughesNYI 0 – MIN 1
- 16:36Matthew Schaefer (3)wrist shot · from Heineman and EklundNYI 1 – MIN 1
- 2nd01:41Bo Horvat (7)PPG · tip-in · from Holmstrom and SchaeferNYI 2 – MIN 1
- 17:21Quinn Hughes (4)backhand · from Hartman and BrodinNYI 2 – MIN 2
- 3rd07:14Adam Pelech (1)wrist shot · UnassistedNYI 3 – MIN 2
- 16:07Matt Boldy (6)wrist shot · UnassistedNYI 3 – MIN 3
- OT00:33Matthew Schaefer (4)wrist shot · from PageauNYI 4 – MIN 3
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 110 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 26 |
| MIN | 113 | 15 | 18 | 00 | 3 | 26 |
Three stars
- ★
M. SchaeferNYI · D · 2 G, 1 A - ★★
B. HorvatNYI · C · 1 G - ★★★
Q. HughesMIN · D · 1 G, 1 A
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill KaprizovMIN | 3.2 | 3 | 1.25 | 1 |
| Matt BoldyMIN | 3.5 | 4 | 1.11 | 1 |
| Quinn HughesMIN | 2.4 | 4 | 1.04 | 2 |
| Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 2.9 | 3 | 0.83 | 1 |
| Bo HorvatNYI | 3.2 | 3 | 0.77 | 1 |
| Matthew SchaeferNYI | 3.0 | 6 | 0.67 | 3 |
| Maxim ShabanovMIN | 1.4 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 |
| Blake ColemanMIN | 2.2 | 1 | 0.51 | 0 |
| Simon HolmstromNYI | 1.6 | 2 | 0.50 | 1 |
| Brayden SchennNYI | 1.7 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 |
| Danila YurovMIN | 1.4 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 |
| Kyle PalmieriNYI | 2.2 | 2 | 0.47 | 0 |
| Bobby BrinkMIN | 1.4 | 1 | 0.46 | 0 |
| Ryan HartmanMIN | 1.6 | 2 | 0.46 | 1 |
| Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 1.3 | 1 | 0.44 | 1 |
| Olli MaattaMIN | 0.9 | 1 | 0.40 | 0 |
Box score
FinalNew York Islanders
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. SchaeferD | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30:01 |
| A. PelechD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23:49 |
| B. HorvatC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:57 |
| S. HolmstromR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 |
| E. HeinemanL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 |
| J. PageauC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:56 |
| V. EklundR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 |
| L. StanleyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26:16 |
| T. DeAngeloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21:26 |
| K. PalmieriC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:03 |
| S. MayfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:51 |
| O. PalatL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15:44 |
| B. SchennC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:18 |
| A. DuclairL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 |
| C. CizikasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 |
| K. MacLeanC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 09:02 |
| M. ChaffeeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 08:57 |
| R. PulockD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:51 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Sorokin | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 60:33 | W |
Minnesota Wild
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. HughesD | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33:41 |
| M. BoldyL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 |
| J. Eriksson EkC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 |
| J. BrodinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23:36 |
| K. KaprizovL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 |
| R. HartmanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:09 |
| D. YurovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:02 |
| M. ShabanovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:49 |
| O. MaattaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:58 |
| B. ColemanL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:16 |
| Z. BogosianD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 |
| Y. TreninC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 |
| B. BrinkR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| M. KierstedD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 |
| M. McCarronC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:12 |
| D. SpacekD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:33 |
| N. SturmC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| T. PitlickC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 06:41 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallstedt | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 60:33 | O |
Team stats
Final| NYI | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 26 |
| 33/58 | Faceoffs | 25/58 |
| 1/2 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 4 |
| 30 | Hits | 31 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 23 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreNYI 2.6 – MIN 3.5
Win chanceMIN 64%
Total 5.5Over 53%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.