Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators
Every goal, both box scores, and each skater against our projection.
Lightning4
Predators5Final/SOSOG TBL 26 – NSH 33Bridgestone ArenaScoring
Final- 1st11:14Reid Schaefer (1)wrist shot · from Kerfoot and PerbixTBL 0 – NSH 1
- 13:38John Carlson (5)wrist shot · from Kucherov and D'AstousTBL 1 – NSH 1
- 2nd00:18Jake Guentzel (8)tip-in · from Carlson and KucherovTBL 2 – NSH 1
- 00:45Adam Edstrom (5)snap shot · from Skjei and PerbixTBL 2 – NSH 2
- 03:23Victor Hedman (3)wrist shot · from Kucherov and PointTBL 3 – NSH 2
- 19:42Jayden Struble (2)wrist shot · from Wilsby and ForsbergTBL 3 – NSH 3
- 3rd03:31Conor Geekie (4)wrist shot · from VielTBL 4 – NSH 3
- 07:27Steven Stamkos (8)PPG · wrist shot · from Forsberg and O'ReillyTBL 4 – NSH 4
- SO00:00Steven Stamkosbackhand · UnassistedTBL 4 – NSH 5
By period
Goals, shots under| Goals | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 16 | 210 | 17 | 03 | 00 | 4 | 26 |
| NSH | 17 | 210 | 113 | 03 | 10 | 5 | 33 |
Three stars
- ★
S. StamkosNSH · C · 1 G - ★★
N. KucherovTBL · R · 3 A - ★★★
A. EdstromNSH · C · 1 G
Against our projection
Gold = at or past his number| Skater | SOG proj | SOG | PTS proj | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita KucherovTBL | 3.0 | 1 | 1.54 | 3 |
| Brandon HagelTBL | 3.5 | 3 | 1.19 | 0 |
| Jake GuentzelTBL | 2.8 | 3 | 1.11 | 1 |
| Filip ForsbergNSH | 2.8 | 2 | 0.92 | 2 |
| Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 2.0 | 0 | 0.87 | 1 |
| Brayden PointTBL | 2.2 | 3 | 0.85 | 1 |
| Steven StamkosNSH | 2.3 | 6 | 0.81 | 1 |
| Roman JosiNSH | 2.4 | 5 | 0.76 | 0 |
| Anthony CirelliTBL | 1.8 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
| John CarlsonTBL | 1.9 | 5 | 0.63 | 2 |
| Gage GoncalvesTBL | 1.4 | 1 | 0.54 | 0 |
| Pontus HolmbergTBL | 1.6 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 |
| Jonathan MarchessaultNSH | 2.0 | 4 | 0.48 | 0 |
| Dominic JamesTBL | 1.5 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 |
| Ilya MikheyevTBL | 1.5 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 |
| Mavrik BourqueNSH | 1.8 | 1 | 0.47 | 0 |
Box score
FinalTampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. KucherovR | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23:41 |
| J. CarlsonD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:11 |
| J. GuentzelC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:56 |
| V. HedmanD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:43 |
| C. GeekieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 |
| C. D'AstousD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25:25 |
| B. PointC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 23:10 |
| J. VielL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 07:41 |
| J. MoserD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 22:17 |
| B. HagelL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 |
| R. McDonaghD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:38 |
| A. CirelliC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:33 |
| M. CrozierD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:36 |
| P. HolmbergR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 |
| I. MikheyevR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 |
| G. GoncalvesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:42 |
| D. JamesC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 |
| S. SabourinR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 08:36 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vasilevskiy | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 65:00 | O |
Nashville Predators
| Skater | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. ForsbergL | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:45 |
| N. PerbixD | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:02 |
| J. StrubleD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:31 |
| A. EdstromC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| S. StamkosC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 |
| R. SchaeferL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 |
| A. WilsbyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21:32 |
| B. SkjeiD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:23 |
| A. KerfootC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:12 |
| R. O'ReillyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18:02 |
| R. JosiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27:33 |
| J. DruryC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18:39 |
| D. HuntD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:05 |
| J. MarchessaultR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 |
| M. BourqueC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 |
| R. ColtonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| M. WoodR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 |
| N. HoglanderL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:10 |
| Goalie | SA | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Annunen | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 64:52 | W |
Team stats
Final| TBL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots on goal | 33 |
| 23/49 | Faceoffs | 26/49 |
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 6 | Penalty minutes | 6 |
| 19 | Hits | 17 |
| 23 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 9 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 2 |
What the model said
Before puck dropProjected scoreTBL 3.6 – NSH 2.8
Win chanceTBL 61%
Total 6.5Under 52%
These are projections, not picks. We post our number beside the market's and grade it in the open.